Central Weather Administration's latest forecast caps Taipei's high at 30°C on April 21 under partly clear skies and light easterly winds, with Songshan Airport station observations confirming midday peaks at exactly 30°C amid 70-80% humidity that curbs additional warming. Reduced cloud cover in updated model runs shifted expectations from 29°C, aligning trader consensus—backed by real capital—at near-certainty for this outcome, consistent with April climatology where averages hover 25-26°C but warm spells enable 30°C maxima. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon sunshine or weakened sea breezes pushing 31°C+, though evening cooling and low-level shear make this improbable; final daily report from CWA expected post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 21?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$70,704 Wol.
$70,704 Wol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$70,704 Wol.
$70,704 Wol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Central Weather Administration's latest forecast caps Taipei's high at 30°C on April 21 under partly clear skies and light easterly winds, with Songshan Airport station observations confirming midday peaks at exactly 30°C amid 70-80% humidity that curbs additional warming. Reduced cloud cover in updated model runs shifted expectations from 29°C, aligning trader consensus—backed by real capital—at near-certainty for this outcome, consistent with April climatology where averages hover 25-26°C but warm spells enable 30°C maxima. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon sunshine or weakened sea breezes pushing 31°C+, though evening cooling and low-level shear make this improbable; final daily report from CWA expected post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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