Current observational data and forecast models from the Central Weather Administration indicate Taipei's daytime high will reach exactly 35°C today, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that allow peak solar heating without triggering convective cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 30–32°C but recent ridging has elevated readings by 3–4°C. Trader consensus at 100% on 35°C reflects real-time integration of hourly station reports and ensemble guidance showing no pathway to 36°C or above. A sudden shift in steering flow or unforecasted thunderstorm development could still cap the peak lower, though such adjustments remain low-probability given the latest model consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 20?
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$61,187 Wol.
$61,187 Wol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$61,187 Wol.
$61,187 Wol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 18, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current observational data and forecast models from the Central Weather Administration indicate Taipei's daytime high will reach exactly 35°C today, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that allow peak solar heating without triggering convective cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 30–32°C but recent ridging has elevated readings by 3–4°C. Trader consensus at 100% on 35°C reflects real-time integration of hourly station reports and ensemble guidance showing no pathway to 36°C or above. A sudden shift in steering flow or unforecasted thunderstorm development could still cap the peak lower, though such adjustments remain low-probability given the latest model consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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