Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional models converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 26 under stable eastern Mediterranean summer conditions, with light winds and the moderating coastal sea breeze limiting further warming. This aligns with long-term August averages of 30–32°C and current ensemble guidance showing minimal spread or anomalous heat dome development. Trader consensus favoring 33°C at 59.5% implied probability reflects slight upward adjustments in latest model runs and historical precedent for occasional exceedances of the mean, while lower-probability outcomes above 34°C would require unexpected subsidence strengthening or reduced marine influence. Updated official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and refined model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
33°C 60%
34°C 17%
32°C 14%
35°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
29°C or below
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
14%
33°C
60%
34°C
17%
35°C
8%
36°C
5%
37°C
4%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
33°C 60%
34°C 17%
32°C 14%
35°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
29°C or below
$20 Wol.
4%
30°C
$5 Wol.
2%
31°C
$62 Wol.
6%
32°C
$12 Wol.
14%
33°C
$398 Wol.
60%
34°C
$0 Wol.
17%
35°C
$57 Wol.
8%
36°C
$5 Wol.
5%
37°C
$5 Wol.
4%
38°C
$0 Wol.
4%
39°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional models converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 26 under stable eastern Mediterranean summer conditions, with light winds and the moderating coastal sea breeze limiting further warming. This aligns with long-term August averages of 30–32°C and current ensemble guidance showing minimal spread or anomalous heat dome development. Trader consensus favoring 33°C at 59.5% implied probability reflects slight upward adjustments in latest model runs and historical precedent for occasional exceedances of the mean, while lower-probability outcomes above 34°C would require unexpected subsidence strengthening or reduced marine influence. Updated official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and refined model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$564Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional models converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 26 under stable eastern Mediterranean summer conditions, with light winds and the moderating coastal sea breeze limiting further warming. This aligns with long-term August averages of 30–32°C and current ensemble guidance showing minimal spread or anomalous heat dome development. Trader consensus favoring 33°C at 59.5% implied probability reflects slight upward adjustments in latest model runs and historical precedent for occasional exceedances of the mean, while lower-probability outcomes above 34°C would require unexpected subsidence strengthening or reduced marine influence. Updated official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and refined model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$564Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional models converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 26 under stable eastern Mediterranean summer conditions, with light winds and the moderating coastal sea breeze limiting further warming. This aligns with long-term August averages of 30–32°C and current ensemble guidance showing minimal spread or anomalous heat dome development. Trader consensus favoring 33°C at 59.5% implied probability reflects slight upward adjustments in latest model runs and historical precedent for occasional exceedances of the mean, while lower-probability outcomes above 34°C would require unexpected subsidence strengthening or reduced marine influence. Updated official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and refined model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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