Trader consensus has converged on a 14°C high for Wellington on June 7, driven by MetService and global model runs projecting a maximum near that value amid stable winter high-pressure conditions over New Zealand. These forecasts align with typical June climatology, where daily highs average in the low-to-mid teens Celsius, and current atmospheric steering patterns show limited potential for warmer air advection or enhanced mixing. Official guidance indicates light winds and partial cloud cover, keeping daytime peaks from exceeding the modeled threshold. A late-day shift in synoptic flow or localized warming could still alter the exact maximum before resolution, though ensemble agreement currently leaves little room for deviation outside the 13–15°C range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 7?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$54,797 Wol.
$54,797 Wol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$54,797 Wol.
$54,797 Wol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 6, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus has converged on a 14°C high for Wellington on June 7, driven by MetService and global model runs projecting a maximum near that value amid stable winter high-pressure conditions over New Zealand. These forecasts align with typical June climatology, where daily highs average in the low-to-mid teens Celsius, and current atmospheric steering patterns show limited potential for warmer air advection or enhanced mixing. Official guidance indicates light winds and partial cloud cover, keeping daytime peaks from exceeding the modeled threshold. A late-day shift in synoptic flow or localized warming could still alter the exact maximum before resolution, though ensemble agreement currently leaves little room for deviation outside the 13–15°C range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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