Official observations from Wellington International Airport, New Zealand's primary weather station for this market, confirm a peak temperature of 16°C on May 12, 2026, as recorded in MetService hourly data around midday under partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds—driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with short-range forecast models from MetService and ensemble projections showing minimal spread, consistent with May climatological norms of 14.5–15°C averages from NIWA records amid cool autumn air masses from the south. Realistic challenges are negligible post-validation, limited to rare data revisions in the Wunderground history used for resolution or unverified instrument anomalies, though southerly persistence and cloud cover precluded higher readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 12?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$106,479 Wol.
$106,479 Wol.
May 12, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$106,479 Wol.
$106,479 Wol.
May 12, 2026
9°C or below
$1,416 Wol.
No
10°C
$1,545 Wol.
No
11°C
$1,280 Wol.
No
12°C
$1,644 Wol.
No
13°C
$22,392 Wol.
No
14°C
$9,154 Wol.
No
15°C
$35,201 Wol.
No
16°C
$10,768 Wol.
Yes
17°C
$8,950 Wol.
No
18°C
$9,519 Wol.
No
19°C or higher
$4,611 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Wellington International Airport, New Zealand's primary weather station for this market, confirm a peak temperature of 16°C on May 12, 2026, as recorded in MetService hourly data around midday under partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds—driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with short-range forecast models from MetService and ensemble projections showing minimal spread, consistent with May climatological norms of 14.5–15°C averages from NIWA records amid cool autumn air masses from the south. Realistic challenges are negligible post-validation, limited to rare data revisions in the Wunderground history used for resolution or unverified instrument anomalies, though southerly persistence and cloud cover precluded higher readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$106,479Data zakończenia
May 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Wellington International Airport, New Zealand's primary weather station for this market, confirm a peak temperature of 16°C on May 12, 2026, as recorded in MetService hourly data around midday under partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds—driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with short-range forecast models from MetService and ensemble projections showing minimal spread, consistent with May climatological norms of 14.5–15°C averages from NIWA records amid cool autumn air masses from the south. Realistic challenges are negligible post-validation, limited to rare data revisions in the Wunderground history used for resolution or unverified instrument anomalies, though southerly persistence and cloud cover precluded higher readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$106,479Data zakończenia
May 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Wellington International Airport, New Zealand's primary weather station for this market, confirm a peak temperature of 16°C on May 12, 2026, as recorded in MetService hourly data around midday under partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds—driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with short-range forecast models from MetService and ensemble projections showing minimal spread, consistent with May climatological norms of 14.5–15°C averages from NIWA records amid cool autumn air masses from the south. Realistic challenges are negligible post-validation, limited to rare data revisions in the Wunderground history used for resolution or unverified instrument anomalies, though southerly persistence and cloud cover precluded higher readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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