Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a daily high near 35–36°C on July 15, shaped by the lingering effects of heavy rainfall and moisture from Super Typhoon Bavi, which prompted warnings across Hubei province through July 13. Cloud cover and precipitation associated with the storm system and associated troughs are expected to moderate daytime heating compared with peak-summer climatology, when afternoon maxima often reach 34–38°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings toward 37°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between this near-term cooling influence and Wuhan’s typical mid-July tendency for rapid warming once rain ends, resulting in tightly matched probabilities for the 36°C and 37°C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 15?
37°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$46,740 Wol.
$46,740 Wol.
Jul 15, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$46,740 Wol.
$46,740 Wol.
Jul 15, 2026
31°C or below
$200 Wol.
No
32°C
$182 Wol.
No
33°C
$1,372 Wol.
No
34°C
$3,059 Wol.
No
35°C
$4,726 Wol.
No
36°C
$8,264 Wol.
No
37°C
$6,134 Wol.
Yes
38°C
$5,604 Wol.
No
39°C
$7,851 Wol.
No
40°C
$6,227 Wol.
No
41°C or higher
$3,121 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a daily high near 35–36°C on July 15, shaped by the lingering effects of heavy rainfall and moisture from Super Typhoon Bavi, which prompted warnings across Hubei province through July 13. Cloud cover and precipitation associated with the storm system and associated troughs are expected to moderate daytime heating compared with peak-summer climatology, when afternoon maxima often reach 34–38°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings toward 37°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between this near-term cooling influence and Wuhan’s typical mid-July tendency for rapid warming once rain ends, resulting in tightly matched probabilities for the 36°C and 37°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$46,740Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a daily high near 35–36°C on July 15, shaped by the lingering effects of heavy rainfall and moisture from Super Typhoon Bavi, which prompted warnings across Hubei province through July 13. Cloud cover and precipitation associated with the storm system and associated troughs are expected to moderate daytime heating compared with peak-summer climatology, when afternoon maxima often reach 34–38°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings toward 37°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between this near-term cooling influence and Wuhan’s typical mid-July tendency for rapid warming once rain ends, resulting in tightly matched probabilities for the 36°C and 37°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$46,740Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a daily high near 35–36°C on July 15, shaped by the lingering effects of heavy rainfall and moisture from Super Typhoon Bavi, which prompted warnings across Hubei province through July 13. Cloud cover and precipitation associated with the storm system and associated troughs are expected to moderate daytime heating compared with peak-summer climatology, when afternoon maxima often reach 34–38°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings toward 37°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between this near-term cooling influence and Wuhan’s typical mid-July tendency for rapid warming once rain ends, resulting in tightly matched probabilities for the 36°C and 37°C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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