Recent numerical weather models project a maximum temperature in Zhengzhou near 31–32°C on August 24 under humid conditions with scattered thundershowers and light northeasterly winds. This forecast consensus, drawn from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles, positions the 32°C-or-higher outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 49.5 percent, with 30°C and 31°C each at 26 percent. Recent observations show daytime highs consistently in the low 30s amid elevated humidity and monsoon influences, supporting trader sentiment that precipitation may limit further warming while preventing sharp cooling. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
30°C 52%
31°C 52%
32°C or higher 51%
29°C 19%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
19%
30°C
52%
31°C
52%
32°C or higher
51%
30°C 52%
31°C 52%
32°C or higher 51%
29°C 19%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
19%
30°C
52%
31°C
52%
32°C or higher
51%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models project a maximum temperature in Zhengzhou near 31–32°C on August 24 under humid conditions with scattered thundershowers and light northeasterly winds. This forecast consensus, drawn from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles, positions the 32°C-or-higher outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 49.5 percent, with 30°C and 31°C each at 26 percent. Recent observations show daytime highs consistently in the low 30s amid elevated humidity and monsoon influences, supporting trader sentiment that precipitation may limit further warming while preventing sharp cooling. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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