Incumbent Republican Jim Baird secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote in Indiana's 4th Congressional District, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and covers west-central areas including Lafayette and Indianapolis suburbs. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election against Democrat Drew Cox, who prevailed in a fragmented Democratic primary. The district's consistent Republican performance, including Baird's 2024 reelection margin above 25 points, underpins trader consensus around a strong GOP hold. A major national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal, or late redistricting shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIN-04 House Election Winner
IN-04 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,816 Wol.
94%
Democratic Party
$2,143 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jim Baird secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote in Indiana's 4th Congressional District, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and covers west-central areas including Lafayette and Indianapolis suburbs. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election against Democrat Drew Cox, who prevailed in a fragmented Democratic primary. The district's consistent Republican performance, including Baird's 2024 reelection margin above 25 points, underpins trader consensus around a strong GOP hold. A major national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal, or late redistricting shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,959Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jim Baird secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote in Indiana's 4th Congressional District, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and covers west-central areas including Lafayette and Indianapolis suburbs. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election against Democrat Drew Cox, who prevailed in a fragmented Democratic primary. The district's consistent Republican performance, including Baird's 2024 reelection margin above 25 points, underpins trader consensus around a strong GOP hold. A major national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal, or late redistricting shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$5,959Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jim Baird secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote in Indiana's 4th Congressional District, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and covers west-central areas including Lafayette and Indianapolis suburbs. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election against Democrat Drew Cox, who prevailed in a fragmented Democratic primary. The district's consistent Republican performance, including Baird's 2024 reelection margin above 25 points, underpins trader consensus around a strong GOP hold. A major national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal, or late redistricting shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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