Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Morgan Stanley as the frontrunner at 42.5% implied probability to serve as lead underwriter for SpaceX's blockbuster IPO, code-named Project Apex, targeting a June roadshow and up to $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation. This edge stems from Michael Grimes' return to Morgan Stanley as a key Musk advisor—having orchestrated prior Tesla financings—and repeated positioning in recent Reuters and WSJ reports as an active bookrunner alongside Goldman Sachs (26.5%), Bank of America (17.8%), JPMorgan (2.1%), and Citigroup (1.3%). A April 6 virtual banker meeting outlined details without naming a sole lead, fueling uncertainty, while banks' Q1 earnings highlighted their roles. Watch for late-May prospectus filings that could clarify hierarchy amid competitive tech IPO dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank wiodący w ofercie publicznej SpaceX?
Bank wiodący w ofercie publicznej SpaceX?
Morgan Stanley 43%
Goldman Sachs 27%
Bank of America 17.8%
JPMorgan 2.1%
$1,498,365 Wol.
$1,498,365 Wol.

Morgan Stanley
43%

Goldman Sachs
27%

Bank of America
18%

JPMorgan
2%

Citigroup
1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Barclays
<1%

UBS
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
Morgan Stanley 43%
Goldman Sachs 27%
Bank of America 17.8%
JPMorgan 2.1%
$1,498,365 Wol.
$1,498,365 Wol.

Morgan Stanley
43%

Goldman Sachs
27%

Bank of America
18%

JPMorgan
2%

Citigroup
1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Barclays
<1%

UBS
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Morgan Stanley as the frontrunner at 42.5% implied probability to serve as lead underwriter for SpaceX's blockbuster IPO, code-named Project Apex, targeting a June roadshow and up to $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation. This edge stems from Michael Grimes' return to Morgan Stanley as a key Musk advisor—having orchestrated prior Tesla financings—and repeated positioning in recent Reuters and WSJ reports as an active bookrunner alongside Goldman Sachs (26.5%), Bank of America (17.8%), JPMorgan (2.1%), and Citigroup (1.3%). A April 6 virtual banker meeting outlined details without naming a sole lead, fueling uncertainty, while banks' Q1 earnings highlighted their roles. Watch for late-May prospectus filings that could clarify hierarchy amid competitive tech IPO dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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