Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on May 9?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 9?
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$39,433 Wol.
$39,433 Wol.
May 9, 2026
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
Yes
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$39,433 Wol.
$39,433 Wol.
May 9, 2026
43°F or below
$10,238 Wol.
No
44-45°F
$6,726 Wol.
No
46-47°F
$1,759 Wol.
No
48-49°F
$2,081 Wol.
No
50-51°F
$2,258 Wol.
No
52-53°F
$3,026 Wol.
Yes
54-55°F
$3,761 Wol.
No
56-57°F
$1,689 Wol.
No
58-59°F
$2,039 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$2,619 Wol.
No
62°F or higher
$3,236 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$39,433Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$39,433Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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