Forecast consensus from National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models places NYC's minimum temperature on July 21 near 70–74 °F under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–75 °F bins. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the strength of the urban heat island effect around Central Park, while climatological norms for mid-July lows near 69 °F provide a baseline. Any last-minute shift in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the realized minimum across the 2 °F resolution thresholds, keeping trader focus on updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles through tomorrow morning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on July 21?
Lowest temperature in NYC on July 21?
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$14,246 Wol.
$14,246 Wol.
Jul 21, 2026
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$14,246 Wol.
$14,246 Wol.
Jul 21, 2026
63°F or below
$711 Wol.
No
64-65°F
$1,801 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$1,491 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$817 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$1,196 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$2,366 Wol.
Yes
74-75°F
$3,304 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$1,075 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$681 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$451 Wol.
No
82°F or higher
$354 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models places NYC's minimum temperature on July 21 near 70–74 °F under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–75 °F bins. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the strength of the urban heat island effect around Central Park, while climatological norms for mid-July lows near 69 °F provide a baseline. Any last-minute shift in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the realized minimum across the 2 °F resolution thresholds, keeping trader focus on updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles through tomorrow morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$14,246Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models places NYC's minimum temperature on July 21 near 70–74 °F under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–75 °F bins. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the strength of the urban heat island effect around Central Park, while climatological norms for mid-July lows near 69 °F provide a baseline. Any last-minute shift in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the realized minimum across the 2 °F resolution thresholds, keeping trader focus on updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles through tomorrow morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$14,246Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Forecast consensus from National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models places NYC's minimum temperature on July 21 near 70–74 °F under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–75 °F bins. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the strength of the urban heat island effect around Central Park, while climatological norms for mid-July lows near 69 °F provide a baseline. Any last-minute shift in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the realized minimum across the 2 °F resolution thresholds, keeping trader focus on updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles through tomorrow morning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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