Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system over western Europe are keeping minimum temperatures elevated in Paris ahead of June 24. Recent model guidance and Météo-France outlooks show daytime maxima near 39–40 °C on June 22–23 with overnight lows holding around 22–23 °C amid light easterly winds, clear skies, and limited radiative cooling. This warm air mass, combined with the urban heat-island effect and high soil moisture from prior weeks, reduces the typical diurnal range and makes sub-22 °C readings unlikely while capping upside potential above 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, supporting the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C. Updated model runs and the next Météo-France briefing will provide the clearest signal on any late adjustment to the minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on June 24?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 24?
24°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$19,380 Wol.
$19,380 Wol.
Jun 24, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$19,380 Wol.
$19,380 Wol.
Jun 24, 2026
23°C or below
$3,800 Wol.
No
24°C
$7,492 Wol.
Yes
25°C
$2,212 Wol.
No
26°C
$1,712 Wol.
No
27°C
$973 Wol.
No
28°C
$1,442 Wol.
No
29°C
$296 Wol.
No
30°C
$302 Wol.
No
31°C
$362 Wol.
No
32°C
$462 Wol.
No
33°C or higher
$326 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system over western Europe are keeping minimum temperatures elevated in Paris ahead of June 24. Recent model guidance and Météo-France outlooks show daytime maxima near 39–40 °C on June 22–23 with overnight lows holding around 22–23 °C amid light easterly winds, clear skies, and limited radiative cooling. This warm air mass, combined with the urban heat-island effect and high soil moisture from prior weeks, reduces the typical diurnal range and makes sub-22 °C readings unlikely while capping upside potential above 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, supporting the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C. Updated model runs and the next Météo-France briefing will provide the clearest signal on any late adjustment to the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$19,380Data zakończenia
Jun 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system over western Europe are keeping minimum temperatures elevated in Paris ahead of June 24. Recent model guidance and Météo-France outlooks show daytime maxima near 39–40 °C on June 22–23 with overnight lows holding around 22–23 °C amid light easterly winds, clear skies, and limited radiative cooling. This warm air mass, combined with the urban heat-island effect and high soil moisture from prior weeks, reduces the typical diurnal range and makes sub-22 °C readings unlikely while capping upside potential above 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, supporting the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C. Updated model runs and the next Météo-France briefing will provide the clearest signal on any late adjustment to the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$19,380Data zakończenia
Jun 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system over western Europe are keeping minimum temperatures elevated in Paris ahead of June 24. Recent model guidance and Météo-France outlooks show daytime maxima near 39–40 °C on June 22–23 with overnight lows holding around 22–23 °C amid light easterly winds, clear skies, and limited radiative cooling. This warm air mass, combined with the urban heat-island effect and high soil moisture from prior weeks, reduces the typical diurnal range and makes sub-22 °C readings unlikely while capping upside potential above 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, supporting the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C. Updated model runs and the next Météo-France briefing will provide the clearest signal on any late adjustment to the minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania