Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul’s overnight low stabilizing near 16°C on June 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early-June climatological averages of 14–17°C. This strong model consensus and absence of cold-air advection or heavy precipitation underpin the near-certain market-implied probability for 16°C as the day’s minimum, recorded at official stations between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift to lower values would require an unforecasted northerly surge or enhanced radiational cooling from unexpected cloud changes, both low-probability outcomes given the latest guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on June 9?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 9?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,137 Wol.
$22,137 Wol.
Jun 9, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,137 Wol.
$22,137 Wol.
Jun 9, 2026
10°C or below
$683 Wol.
No
11°C
$865 Wol.
No
12°C
$536 Wol.
No
13°C
$637 Wol.
No
14°C
$1,442 Wol.
No
15°C
$5,572 Wol.
No
16°C
$4,964 Wol.
Yes
17°C
$1,658 Wol.
No
18°C
$1,794 Wol.
No
19°C
$2,190 Wol.
No
20°C or higher
$1,796 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul’s overnight low stabilizing near 16°C on June 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early-June climatological averages of 14–17°C. This strong model consensus and absence of cold-air advection or heavy precipitation underpin the near-certain market-implied probability for 16°C as the day’s minimum, recorded at official stations between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift to lower values would require an unforecasted northerly surge or enhanced radiational cooling from unexpected cloud changes, both low-probability outcomes given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$22,137Data zakończenia
Jun 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul’s overnight low stabilizing near 16°C on June 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early-June climatological averages of 14–17°C. This strong model consensus and absence of cold-air advection or heavy precipitation underpin the near-certain market-implied probability for 16°C as the day’s minimum, recorded at official stations between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift to lower values would require an unforecasted northerly surge or enhanced radiational cooling from unexpected cloud changes, both low-probability outcomes given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$22,137Data zakończenia
Jun 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul’s overnight low stabilizing near 16°C on June 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early-June climatological averages of 14–17°C. This strong model consensus and absence of cold-air advection or heavy precipitation underpin the near-certain market-implied probability for 16°C as the day’s minimum, recorded at official stations between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift to lower values would require an unforecasted northerly surge or enhanced radiational cooling from unexpected cloud changes, both low-probability outcomes given the latest guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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