Korea Meteorological Administration observations recorded Seoul's morning low at exactly 10°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies and light westerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly guidance shows temperatures stabilizing around 11°C near midnight, with minimal radiative cooling potential due to urban heat island effects and persistent high pressure. This aligns with short-range model ensembles from KMA, reflecting typical early-May diurnal patterns where lows occur pre-dawn. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind calm allowing sharper nocturnal cooling to 9°C or below, though low-probability given current trajectories; final daily minimum will resolve via official Seoul station data post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on May 4?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 4?
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$18,431 Wol.
$18,431 Wol.
May 4, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$18,431 Wol.
$18,431 Wol.
May 4, 2026
5°C or below
$652 Wol.
No
6°C
$2,238 Wol.
No
7°C
$4,779 Wol.
No
8°C
$4,668 Wol.
No
9°C
$1,356 Wol.
No
10°C
$2,774 Wol.
Yes
11°C
$407 Wol.
No
12°C
$347 Wol.
No
13°C
$453 Wol.
No
14°C
$406 Wol.
No
15°C or higher
$351 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations recorded Seoul's morning low at exactly 10°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies and light westerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly guidance shows temperatures stabilizing around 11°C near midnight, with minimal radiative cooling potential due to urban heat island effects and persistent high pressure. This aligns with short-range model ensembles from KMA, reflecting typical early-May diurnal patterns where lows occur pre-dawn. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind calm allowing sharper nocturnal cooling to 9°C or below, though low-probability given current trajectories; final daily minimum will resolve via official Seoul station data post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,431Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations recorded Seoul's morning low at exactly 10°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies and light westerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly guidance shows temperatures stabilizing around 11°C near midnight, with minimal radiative cooling potential due to urban heat island effects and persistent high pressure. This aligns with short-range model ensembles from KMA, reflecting typical early-May diurnal patterns where lows occur pre-dawn. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind calm allowing sharper nocturnal cooling to 9°C or below, though low-probability given current trajectories; final daily minimum will resolve via official Seoul station data post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$18,431Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations recorded Seoul's morning low at exactly 10°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies and light westerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly guidance shows temperatures stabilizing around 11°C near midnight, with minimal radiative cooling potential due to urban heat island effects and persistent high pressure. This aligns with short-range model ensembles from KMA, reflecting typical early-May diurnal patterns where lows occur pre-dawn. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind calm allowing sharper nocturnal cooling to 9°C or below, though low-probability given current trajectories; final daily minimum will resolve via official Seoul station data post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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