Recent forecast model runs show a tight cluster of possible overnight minimum temperatures in Toronto on August 27 driven by variable cloud cover, light wind patterns, and residual moisture from upstream systems. Official guidance from Environment Canada and ensemble outputs indicate the daily low will likely settle near 16–19 °C, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention creating the spread reflected in closely matched market-implied odds around those values. Historical late-August climatology places Toronto’s average minimum near 17 °C, providing context for the current uncertainty. Updated model guidance and observational data from the next 12–18 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift trader positioning before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Toronto on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 27?
17°C 27%
18°C 27%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
7%
14°C
17%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
15%
21°C
26%
22°C
17%
23°C or higher
6%
17°C 27%
18°C 27%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
$32 Wol.
7%
14°C
$32 Wol.
17%
15°C
$5 Wol.
26%
16°C
$0 Wol.
26%
17°C
$0 Wol.
27%
18°C
$0 Wol.
27%
19°C
$0 Wol.
26%
20°C
$20 Wol.
15%
21°C
$4 Wol.
26%
22°C
$27 Wol.
17%
23°C or higher
$32 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs show a tight cluster of possible overnight minimum temperatures in Toronto on August 27 driven by variable cloud cover, light wind patterns, and residual moisture from upstream systems. Official guidance from Environment Canada and ensemble outputs indicate the daily low will likely settle near 16–19 °C, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention creating the spread reflected in closely matched market-implied odds around those values. Historical late-August climatology places Toronto’s average minimum near 17 °C, providing context for the current uncertainty. Updated model guidance and observational data from the next 12–18 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$153Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs show a tight cluster of possible overnight minimum temperatures in Toronto on August 27 driven by variable cloud cover, light wind patterns, and residual moisture from upstream systems. Official guidance from Environment Canada and ensemble outputs indicate the daily low will likely settle near 16–19 °C, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention creating the spread reflected in closely matched market-implied odds around those values. Historical late-August climatology places Toronto’s average minimum near 17 °C, providing context for the current uncertainty. Updated model guidance and observational data from the next 12–18 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$153Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs show a tight cluster of possible overnight minimum temperatures in Toronto on August 27 driven by variable cloud cover, light wind patterns, and residual moisture from upstream systems. Official guidance from Environment Canada and ensemble outputs indicate the daily low will likely settle near 16–19 °C, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention creating the spread reflected in closely matched market-implied odds around those values. Historical late-August climatology places Toronto’s average minimum near 17 °C, providing context for the current uncertainty. Updated model guidance and observational data from the next 12–18 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift trader positioning before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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