**Traders see a high probability of the next Claude Opus release in late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of Opus point releases every six to eight weeks.** Opus 5 launched July 24 with gains in agentic coding, self-verification, and long-horizon tasks at the same $5/$25 pricing, quickly becoming the general-purpose flagship after Opus 4.8 in May. The September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 refreshed the higher tier, signaling ongoing iteration across the Claude 5 family. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus expanded compute capacity, supports expectations of another Opus update soon. No official timeline exists, but market-implied odds reflect the pattern of frequent, incremental flagship refreshes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Claude Opus released by...?
Next Claude Opus released by...?
$104,235 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
75%
October 31
99%
December 31
98%
$104,235 Wol.
September 30
$44,308 Wol.
75%
October 31
$13,267 Wol.
99%
December 31
$5,146 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Traders see a high probability of the next Claude Opus release in late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of Opus point releases every six to eight weeks.** Opus 5 launched July 24 with gains in agentic coding, self-verification, and long-horizon tasks at the same $5/$25 pricing, quickly becoming the general-purpose flagship after Opus 4.8 in May. The September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 refreshed the higher tier, signaling ongoing iteration across the Claude 5 family. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus expanded compute capacity, supports expectations of another Opus update soon. No official timeline exists, but market-implied odds reflect the pattern of frequent, incremental flagship refreshes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$104,235Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Traders see a high probability of the next Claude Opus release in late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of Opus point releases every six to eight weeks.** Opus 5 launched July 24 with gains in agentic coding, self-verification, and long-horizon tasks at the same $5/$25 pricing, quickly becoming the general-purpose flagship after Opus 4.8 in May. The September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 refreshed the higher tier, signaling ongoing iteration across the Claude 5 family. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus expanded compute capacity, supports expectations of another Opus update soon. No official timeline exists, but market-implied odds reflect the pattern of frequent, incremental flagship refreshes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$104,235Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**Traders see a high probability of the next Claude Opus release in late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of Opus point releases every six to eight weeks.** Opus 5 launched July 24 with gains in agentic coding, self-verification, and long-horizon tasks at the same $5/$25 pricing, quickly becoming the general-purpose flagship after Opus 4.8 in May. The September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 refreshed the higher tier, signaling ongoing iteration across the Claude 5 family. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus expanded compute capacity, supports expectations of another Opus update soon. No official timeline exists, but market-implied odds reflect the pattern of frequent, incremental flagship refreshes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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