Anthropic’s September 22 announcement confirming Claude Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 would ship “in the coming weeks” after the Opus 5.5 launch has anchored trader sentiment around late September or early October. The company’s cadence—Sonnet 5 in June, multiple mid-tier refreshes earlier in 2026—combined with pressure from competitors’ rapid large language model iterations on agentic coding, tool use, and long-context benchmarks supports expectations of a near-term release. Traders see the lack of a precise date or system card as the main source of dispersion across daily contracts, with historical patterns suggesting Anthropic avoids fixed timelines to manage competitive positioning and internal readiness. Key swing factors include any follow-up statements at developer events or regulatory pauses on frontier AI deployment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Claude Sonnet released on...?
Next Claude Sonnet released on...?
On or prior to September 24 50%
September 25 50%
September 26 50%
September 27 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
On or prior to September 24
50%
September 25
50%
September 26
50%
September 27
50%
September 28
44%
September 29
44%
September 30
44%
October 1
44%
October 2
44%
October 3
44%
October 4
44%
October 5
44%
October 6
44%
October 7
44%
October 8
44%
October 9
44%
October 10
44%
October 11
44%
October 12
44%
October 13
44%
October 14
44%
October 15
44%
No release by October 15
48%
On or prior to September 24 50%
September 25 50%
September 26 50%
September 27 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
On or prior to September 24
$0 Wol.
50%
September 25
$0 Wol.
50%
September 26
$0 Wol.
50%
September 27
$0 Wol.
50%
September 28
$0 Wol.
44%
September 29
$0 Wol.
44%
September 30
$0 Wol.
44%
October 1
$0 Wol.
44%
October 2
$0 Wol.
44%
October 3
$0 Wol.
44%
October 4
$0 Wol.
44%
October 5
$0 Wol.
44%
October 6
$0 Wol.
44%
October 7
$0 Wol.
44%
October 8
$0 Wol.
44%
October 9
$0 Wol.
44%
October 10
$0 Wol.
44%
October 11
$0 Wol.
44%
October 12
$0 Wol.
44%
October 13
$0 Wol.
44%
October 14
$0 Wol.
44%
October 15
$0 Wol.
44%
No release by October 15
$0 Wol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s September 22 announcement confirming Claude Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 would ship “in the coming weeks” after the Opus 5.5 launch has anchored trader sentiment around late September or early October. The company’s cadence—Sonnet 5 in June, multiple mid-tier refreshes earlier in 2026—combined with pressure from competitors’ rapid large language model iterations on agentic coding, tool use, and long-context benchmarks supports expectations of a near-term release. Traders see the lack of a precise date or system card as the main source of dispersion across daily contracts, with historical patterns suggesting Anthropic avoids fixed timelines to manage competitive positioning and internal readiness. Key swing factors include any follow-up statements at developer events or regulatory pauses on frontier AI deployment.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 24, 2026, 3:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 24, 2026, 3:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s September 22 announcement confirming Claude Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 would ship “in the coming weeks” after the Opus 5.5 launch has anchored trader sentiment around late September or early October. The company’s cadence—Sonnet 5 in June, multiple mid-tier refreshes earlier in 2026—combined with pressure from competitors’ rapid large language model iterations on agentic coding, tool use, and long-context benchmarks supports expectations of a near-term release. Traders see the lack of a precise date or system card as the main source of dispersion across daily contracts, with historical patterns suggesting Anthropic avoids fixed timelines to manage competitive positioning and internal readiness. Key swing factors include any follow-up statements at developer events or regulatory pauses on frontier AI deployment.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 24, 2026, 3:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Anthropic’s September 22 announcement confirming Claude Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 would ship “in the coming weeks” after the Opus 5.5 launch has anchored trader sentiment around late September or early October. The company’s cadence—Sonnet 5 in June, multiple mid-tier refreshes earlier in 2026—combined with pressure from competitors’ rapid large language model iterations on agentic coding, tool use, and long-context benchmarks supports expectations of a near-term release. Traders see the lack of a precise date or system card as the main source of dispersion across daily contracts, with historical patterns suggesting Anthropic avoids fixed timelines to manage competitive positioning and internal readiness. Key swing factors include any follow-up statements at developer events or regulatory pauses on frontier AI deployment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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