Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter sparse MoE model with native vision and a 1-million-token context window—remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on the next Kimi release. The model quickly reached frontier-level benchmarks, prompted open-weight distribution days later, and fueled rapid revenue growth to $1 billion annualized recurring revenue by August. A September 11 K2.8 preview update that closed much of the gap to K3 capabilities further signals Moonshot’s rapid iteration cadence. Competitive dynamics include Anthropic’s September 10 accusation of distillation via proxy routing to Claude models, alongside enterprise expansion and IPO preparations that could accelerate or complicate future releases. Traders are watching for any regulatory, partnership, or internal shifts that might alter Moonshot’s control over the Kimi line before the next flagship ships.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Kimi K model released by…?
Next Kimi K model released by…?
$19,312 Wol.
Sep 15, 2026
September 15, 2026
97%
September 30, 2026
99%
December 31, 2026
99%
$19,312 Wol.
September 15, 2026
$3,642 Wol.
97%
September 30, 2026
$11,555 Wol.
99%
December 31, 2026
$2,188 Wol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter sparse MoE model with native vision and a 1-million-token context window—remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on the next Kimi release. The model quickly reached frontier-level benchmarks, prompted open-weight distribution days later, and fueled rapid revenue growth to $1 billion annualized recurring revenue by August. A September 11 K2.8 preview update that closed much of the gap to K3 capabilities further signals Moonshot’s rapid iteration cadence. Competitive dynamics include Anthropic’s September 10 accusation of distillation via proxy routing to Claude models, alongside enterprise expansion and IPO preparations that could accelerate or complicate future releases. Traders are watching for any regulatory, partnership, or internal shifts that might alter Moonshot’s control over the Kimi line before the next flagship ships.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$19,312Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter sparse MoE model with native vision and a 1-million-token context window—remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on the next Kimi release. The model quickly reached frontier-level benchmarks, prompted open-weight distribution days later, and fueled rapid revenue growth to $1 billion annualized recurring revenue by August. A September 11 K2.8 preview update that closed much of the gap to K3 capabilities further signals Moonshot’s rapid iteration cadence. Competitive dynamics include Anthropic’s September 10 accusation of distillation via proxy routing to Claude models, alongside enterprise expansion and IPO preparations that could accelerate or complicate future releases. Traders are watching for any regulatory, partnership, or internal shifts that might alter Moonshot’s control over the Kimi line before the next flagship ships.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$19,312Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter sparse MoE model with native vision and a 1-million-token context window—remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on the next Kimi release. The model quickly reached frontier-level benchmarks, prompted open-weight distribution days later, and fueled rapid revenue growth to $1 billion annualized recurring revenue by August. A September 11 K2.8 preview update that closed much of the gap to K3 capabilities further signals Moonshot’s rapid iteration cadence. Competitive dynamics include Anthropic’s September 10 accusation of distillation via proxy routing to Claude models, alongside enterprise expansion and IPO preparations that could accelerate or complicate future releases. Traders are watching for any regulatory, partnership, or internal shifts that might alter Moonshot’s control over the Kimi line before the next flagship ships.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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