Trader consensus slightly favors state Sen. David Brock Smith at 44% over Jo Rae Perkins at 42% in Oregon's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by Smith's superior Q1 fundraising—$24,084 raised and $23,795 cash on hand per FEC filings versus Perkins' $5,185 raised—and his incumbency in the state Senate District 1, appealing to establishment Republicans. Perkins holds strong grassroots support from her prior U.S. Senate bids in 2020 and 2022, keeping the multicandidate field fragmented and the top matchup tight absent public polls. Recent local newspaper endorsements for Smith and his active campaigning at GOP events criticizing Democratic tax policies have nudged odds his way, though major party or NRSC backing, candidate forums, or final voter pamphlet impacts could tip the balance before ballots mail.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJo Rae Perkins 42%
David Brock Smith 37.1%
Joe Johnson 3.8%
David Burch 2.9%
$73,196 Wol.
$73,196 Wol.
Jo Rae Perkins
42%
David Brock Smith
45%
Joe Johnson
4%
David Burch
3%
Tim Skelton
1%
Russell McAlmond
1%
Brent Barker
<1%
Deborah C. Brown
<1%
Douglas T. Muck Jr.
<1%
Jo Rae Perkins 42%
David Brock Smith 37.1%
Joe Johnson 3.8%
David Burch 2.9%
$73,196 Wol.
$73,196 Wol.
Jo Rae Perkins
42%
David Brock Smith
45%
Joe Johnson
4%
David Burch
3%
Tim Skelton
1%
Russell McAlmond
1%
Brent Barker
<1%
Deborah C. Brown
<1%
Douglas T. Muck Jr.
<1%
If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus slightly favors state Sen. David Brock Smith at 44% over Jo Rae Perkins at 42% in Oregon's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by Smith's superior Q1 fundraising—$24,084 raised and $23,795 cash on hand per FEC filings versus Perkins' $5,185 raised—and his incumbency in the state Senate District 1, appealing to establishment Republicans. Perkins holds strong grassroots support from her prior U.S. Senate bids in 2020 and 2022, keeping the multicandidate field fragmented and the top matchup tight absent public polls. Recent local newspaper endorsements for Smith and his active campaigning at GOP events criticizing Democratic tax policies have nudged odds his way, though major party or NRSC backing, candidate forums, or final voter pamphlet impacts could tip the balance before ballots mail.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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