Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4, 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork released August 17, place her at 29 percent, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Arraes benefits from integration into the Popular Front ticket alongside João Campos (PSB), recent formalization of her candidacy in early August, and consistent double-digit advantages in multiple Quaest and Genial polls since June. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra’s group, trail in the low teens, while lower-polling names such as Carlos Sant’Anna, Paulo Rubem Santiago, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register single digits or less. Trader pricing reflects these vote-intention gaps and limited recent shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign momentum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMarília Arraes 77%
Túlio Gadêlha 12.0%
Pastor Gilvan Costa 11.8%
Mailson da Silva Neto 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Arraes
77%
Túlio Gadêlha
12%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
12%
Mailson da Silva Neto
7%
Samuel Timoteo
6%
Gorett Bitu
5%
Mendonça Filho
5%
Mariano Macedo
5%
Carlos Sant'Anna
2%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
9%
Eduardo da Fonte
1%
Humberto Costa
1%
Marília Arraes 77%
Túlio Gadêlha 12.0%
Pastor Gilvan Costa 11.8%
Mailson da Silva Neto 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Arraes
$281 Wol.
77%
Túlio Gadêlha
$116 Wol.
12%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$116 Wol.
12%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$140 Wol.
7%
Samuel Timoteo
$123 Wol.
6%
Gorett Bitu
$116 Wol.
5%
Mendonça Filho
$116 Wol.
5%
Mariano Macedo
$116 Wol.
5%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$113 Wol.
2%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$116 Wol.
9%
Eduardo da Fonte
$113 Wol.
1%
Humberto Costa
$113 Wol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4, 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork released August 17, place her at 29 percent, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Arraes benefits from integration into the Popular Front ticket alongside João Campos (PSB), recent formalization of her candidacy in early August, and consistent double-digit advantages in multiple Quaest and Genial polls since June. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra’s group, trail in the low teens, while lower-polling names such as Carlos Sant’Anna, Paulo Rubem Santiago, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register single digits or less. Trader pricing reflects these vote-intention gaps and limited recent shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign momentum.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,581Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4, 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork released August 17, place her at 29 percent, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Arraes benefits from integration into the Popular Front ticket alongside João Campos (PSB), recent formalization of her candidacy in early August, and consistent double-digit advantages in multiple Quaest and Genial polls since June. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra’s group, trail in the low teens, while lower-polling names such as Carlos Sant’Anna, Paulo Rubem Santiago, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register single digits or less. Trader pricing reflects these vote-intention gaps and limited recent shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign momentum.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$1,581Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4, 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork released August 17, place her at 29 percent, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Arraes benefits from integration into the Popular Front ticket alongside João Campos (PSB), recent formalization of her candidacy in early August, and consistent double-digit advantages in multiple Quaest and Genial polls since June. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra’s group, trail in the low teens, while lower-polling names such as Carlos Sant’Anna, Paulo Rubem Santiago, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register single digits or less. Trader pricing reflects these vote-intention gaps and limited recent shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign momentum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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