Recent benchmark updates on platforms like Arena.ai and MathArena show Chinese labs such as Alibaba’s Qwen series and Z.ai’s GLM models closing gaps with U.S. frontrunners in mathematical reasoning tasks, fueling the tight 39.5% implied odds for Google and 22.5% for Alibaba as second place by late October. DeepSeek, Moonshot, and OpenAI variants post competitive MATH and AIME scores, while model releases emphasize specialized fine-tuning and longer context for complex problems. Trader consensus reflects rapid iteration cycles and benchmark volatility rather than any single announcement, with regulatory scrutiny and compute access as secondary swing factors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Google 40%
Alibaba 23%
Xiaomi 9%
Z.ai 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 31, 2026
40%
Alibaba
23%
Xiaomi
9%
Z.ai
13%
Anthropic
5%
DeepSeek
5%
OpenAI
5%
ByteDance
5%
Meituan
4%
Baidu
4%
Amazon
4%
Meta
4%
Microsoft
4%
SpaceXAI
3%
Moonshot
3%
StepFun
2%
Tencent
2%
MiniMax
1%
Mistral
1%
Nvidia
9%
Google 40%
Alibaba 23%
Xiaomi 9%
Z.ai 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 31, 2026
$2,868 Wol.
40%
Alibaba
$253 Wol.
23%
Xiaomi
$62 Wol.
9%
Z.ai
$170 Wol.
13%
Anthropic
$94 Wol.
5%
DeepSeek
$59 Wol.
5%
OpenAI
$89 Wol.
5%
ByteDance
$132 Wol.
5%
Meituan
$483 Wol.
4%
Baidu
$64 Wol.
4%
Amazon
$194 Wol.
4%
Meta
$64 Wol.
4%
Microsoft
$260 Wol.
4%
SpaceXAI
$59 Wol.
3%
Moonshot
$64 Wol.
3%
StepFun
$147 Wol.
2%
Tencent
$217 Wol.
2%
MiniMax
$99 Wol.
1%
Mistral
$135 Wol.
1%
Nvidia
$228 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent benchmark updates on platforms like Arena.ai and MathArena show Chinese labs such as Alibaba’s Qwen series and Z.ai’s GLM models closing gaps with U.S. frontrunners in mathematical reasoning tasks, fueling the tight 39.5% implied odds for Google and 22.5% for Alibaba as second place by late October. DeepSeek, Moonshot, and OpenAI variants post competitive MATH and AIME scores, while model releases emphasize specialized fine-tuning and longer context for complex problems. Trader consensus reflects rapid iteration cycles and benchmark volatility rather than any single announcement, with regulatory scrutiny and compute access as secondary swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,739Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent benchmark updates on platforms like Arena.ai and MathArena show Chinese labs such as Alibaba’s Qwen series and Z.ai’s GLM models closing gaps with U.S. frontrunners in mathematical reasoning tasks, fueling the tight 39.5% implied odds for Google and 22.5% for Alibaba as second place by late October. DeepSeek, Moonshot, and OpenAI variants post competitive MATH and AIME scores, while model releases emphasize specialized fine-tuning and longer context for complex problems. Trader consensus reflects rapid iteration cycles and benchmark volatility rather than any single announcement, with regulatory scrutiny and compute access as secondary swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$5,739Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent benchmark updates on platforms like Arena.ai and MathArena show Chinese labs such as Alibaba’s Qwen series and Z.ai’s GLM models closing gaps with U.S. frontrunners in mathematical reasoning tasks, fueling the tight 39.5% implied odds for Google and 22.5% for Alibaba as second place by late October. DeepSeek, Moonshot, and OpenAI variants post competitive MATH and AIME scores, while model releases emphasize specialized fine-tuning and longer context for complex problems. Trader consensus reflects rapid iteration cycles and benchmark volatility rather than any single announcement, with regulatory scrutiny and compute access as secondary swing factors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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