SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering earlier this month has propelled trader consensus toward high closing market caps, with 46% implied probability on 2.0T+ reflecting optimism over Starlink's surging revenue—now over $12 billion annually from its low Earth orbit satellite constellation—and reusable Falcon 9 launch cadence exceeding 100 missions yearly. Recent Starship static fire tests and April Starlink deployments underscore operational momentum, positioning the company ahead of rivals like Blue Origin. Secondary share prices surpassing $650 imply upside beyond the targeted $1.75 trillion valuation, though SEC review and June listing roadshow remain key catalysts amid market volatility risks. Lower brackets trail due to proven execution offsetting historical IPO discounts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Niższe Strajki)
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Niższe Strajki)
2.0T+ 46%
1.8T–2.0T 18%
1.6T–1.8T 14.0%
1.4T–1.6T 7.8%
$750,452 Wol.
$750,452 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
No IPO before 2028
3%
<1.0T
4%
1.0T–1.2T
3%
1.2T–1.4T
4%
1.4T–1.6T
8%
1.6T–1.8T
14%
1.8T–2.0T
18%
2.0T+
46%
2.0T+ 46%
1.8T–2.0T 18%
1.6T–1.8T 14.0%
1.4T–1.6T 7.8%
$750,452 Wol.
$750,452 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
No IPO before 2028
$153,560 Wol.
3%
<1.0T
$51,780 Wol.
4%
1.0T–1.2T
$33,551 Wol.
3%
1.2T–1.4T
$53,571 Wol.
4%
1.4T–1.6T
$101,517 Wol.
8%
1.6T–1.8T
$102,679 Wol.
14%
1.8T–2.0T
$83,576 Wol.
18%
2.0T+
$170,217 Wol.
46%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering earlier this month has propelled trader consensus toward high closing market caps, with 46% implied probability on 2.0T+ reflecting optimism over Starlink's surging revenue—now over $12 billion annually from its low Earth orbit satellite constellation—and reusable Falcon 9 launch cadence exceeding 100 missions yearly. Recent Starship static fire tests and April Starlink deployments underscore operational momentum, positioning the company ahead of rivals like Blue Origin. Secondary share prices surpassing $650 imply upside beyond the targeted $1.75 trillion valuation, though SEC review and June listing roadshow remain key catalysts amid market volatility risks. Lower brackets trail due to proven execution offsetting historical IPO discounts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Wolumen
$750,452Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering earlier this month has propelled trader consensus toward high closing market caps, with 46% implied probability on 2.0T+ reflecting optimism over Starlink's surging revenue—now over $12 billion annually from its low Earth orbit satellite constellation—and reusable Falcon 9 launch cadence exceeding 100 missions yearly. Recent Starship static fire tests and April Starlink deployments underscore operational momentum, positioning the company ahead of rivals like Blue Origin. Secondary share prices surpassing $650 imply upside beyond the targeted $1.75 trillion valuation, though SEC review and June listing roadshow remain key catalysts amid market volatility risks. Lower brackets trail due to proven execution offsetting historical IPO discounts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$750,452Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering earlier this month has propelled trader consensus toward high closing market caps, with 46% implied probability on 2.0T+ reflecting optimism over Starlink's surging revenue—now over $12 billion annually from its low Earth orbit satellite constellation—and reusable Falcon 9 launch cadence exceeding 100 missions yearly. Recent Starship static fire tests and April Starlink deployments underscore operational momentum, positioning the company ahead of rivals like Blue Origin. Secondary share prices surpassing $650 imply upside beyond the targeted $1.75 trillion valuation, though SEC review and June listing roadshow remain key catalysts amid market volatility risks. Lower brackets trail due to proven execution offsetting historical IPO discounts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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