A partial funding lapse for the Department of Homeland Security, ongoing since February 14 amid congressional deadlock over immigration enforcement provisions in the FY2026 appropriations bill, has positioned "After April 30" as trader consensus at 80%, reflecting expectations of prolonged negotiations. The Senate's April 5 stopgap measure funded most DHS components like TSA and FEMA but excluded ICE and CBP, leaving core border security operations in limbo. House Republicans' return from recess around April 14 produced no floor vote despite leadership plans, while President Trump's April 3 memorandum directs retroactive pay without ending the shutdown. Recent hearings highlighted operational strains, with partisan disputes over reforms stalling progress ahead of uncertain upcoming votes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAfter April 30 81.0%
April 29-30 6.2%
21–24 kwietnia 5.9%
25-28 kwietnia 5.6%
$957,440 Wol.
$957,440 Wol.
17-20 kwietnia
<1%
21–24 kwietnia
6%
25-28 kwietnia
6%
April 29-30
6%
After April 30
81%
After April 30 81.0%
April 29-30 6.2%
21–24 kwietnia 5.9%
25-28 kwietnia 5.6%
$957,440 Wol.
$957,440 Wol.
17-20 kwietnia
<1%
21–24 kwietnia
6%
25-28 kwietnia
6%
April 29-30
6%
After April 30
81%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A partial funding lapse for the Department of Homeland Security, ongoing since February 14 amid congressional deadlock over immigration enforcement provisions in the FY2026 appropriations bill, has positioned "After April 30" as trader consensus at 80%, reflecting expectations of prolonged negotiations. The Senate's April 5 stopgap measure funded most DHS components like TSA and FEMA but excluded ICE and CBP, leaving core border security operations in limbo. House Republicans' return from recess around April 14 produced no floor vote despite leadership plans, while President Trump's April 3 memorandum directs retroactive pay without ending the shutdown. Recent hearings highlighted operational strains, with partisan disputes over reforms stalling progress ahead of uncertain upcoming votes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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