Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance shows scattered showers and thunderstorms possible across the eastern and central United States today, driven by a lingering frontal boundary and sufficient moisture and instability. The GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate the highest probability of measurable precipitation (0.01 inch or more at official gauges) in the Northeast and mid-Atlantic, including areas near Philadelphia and New York, while the Gulf Coast and Plains see more isolated activity. Resolution depends on precise 24-hour rainfall totals from NWS stations, with model disagreement on exact tracks and timing adding uncertainty typical for summer convective events. Updated short-range forecasts and radar trends through the afternoon will refine probabilities before markets settle on official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhere will it rain on August 23?

New York, NY
97%

Los Angeles, CA
<1%

Chicago, IL
12%

Houston, TX
18%

Dallas, TX
5%

Phoenix, AZ
18%

Philadelphia, PA
71%

Denver, CO
52%

Washington, DC
23%

Atlanta, GA
6%

Miami, FL
50%

Seattle, WA
5%

Boston, MA
48%

New Orleans, LA
5%

San Francisco, CA
4%
$2,232 Wol.

New York, NY
97%

Los Angeles, CA
<1%

Chicago, IL
12%

Houston, TX
18%

Dallas, TX
5%

Phoenix, AZ
18%

Philadelphia, PA
71%

Denver, CO
52%

Washington, DC
23%

Atlanta, GA
6%

Miami, FL
50%

Seattle, WA
5%

Boston, MA
48%

New Orleans, LA
5%

San Francisco, CA
4%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance shows scattered showers and thunderstorms possible across the eastern and central United States today, driven by a lingering frontal boundary and sufficient moisture and instability. The GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate the highest probability of measurable precipitation (0.01 inch or more at official gauges) in the Northeast and mid-Atlantic, including areas near Philadelphia and New York, while the Gulf Coast and Plains see more isolated activity. Resolution depends on precise 24-hour rainfall totals from NWS stations, with model disagreement on exact tracks and timing adding uncertainty typical for summer convective events. Updated short-range forecasts and radar trends through the afternoon will refine probabilities before markets settle on official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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