Cook Political Report's April 13 update shifting Georgia and North Carolina to Lean Democratic ratings—while maintaining toss-up status in Michigan and Likely Republican in Maine—has driven trader consensus to 68.5% implied probability for Democrats sweeping the core four Senate battlegrounds, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of favorable polling trends. Recent surveys show Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff leading in Georgia, Roy Cooper holding double-digit edges over Republican Michael Whatley in North Carolina per March Harper (49-41%) and April Elon polls, and Democrats competitive against Susan Collins in Maine amid Emerson's 48% for their nominee. Michigan remains tight post-primary, but incumbency advantages and national midterm headwinds for the GOP majority bolster odds, though shifts hinge on turnout in swing states ahead of November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Cook Political Report's April 13 update shifting Georgia and North Carolina to Lean Democratic ratings—while maintaining toss-up status in Michigan and Likely Republican in Maine—has driven trader consensus to 68.5% implied probability for Democrats sweeping the core four Senate battlegrounds, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of favorable polling trends. Recent surveys show Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff leading in Georgia, Roy Cooper holding double-digit edges over Republican Michael Whatley in North Carolina per March Harper (49-41%) and April Elon polls, and Democrats competitive against Susan Collins in Maine amid Emerson's 48% for their nominee. Michigan remains tight post-primary, but incumbency advantages and national midterm headwinds for the GOP majority bolster odds, though shifts hinge on turnout in swing states ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,226Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Cook Political Report's April 13 update shifting Georgia and North Carolina to Lean Democratic ratings—while maintaining toss-up status in Michigan and Likely Republican in Maine—has driven trader consensus to 68.5% implied probability for Democrats sweeping the core four Senate battlegrounds, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of favorable polling trends. Recent surveys show Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff leading in Georgia, Roy Cooper holding double-digit edges over Republican Michael Whatley in North Carolina per March Harper (49-41%) and April Elon polls, and Democrats competitive against Susan Collins in Maine amid Emerson's 48% for their nominee. Michigan remains tight post-primary, but incumbency advantages and national midterm headwinds for the GOP majority bolster odds, though shifts hinge on turnout in swing states ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Wolumen
$3,226Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cook Political Report's April 13 update shifting Georgia and North Carolina to Lean Democratic ratings—while maintaining toss-up status in Michigan and Likely Republican in Maine—has driven trader consensus to 68.5% implied probability for Democrats sweeping the core four Senate battlegrounds, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of favorable polling trends. Recent surveys show Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff leading in Georgia, Roy Cooper holding double-digit edges over Republican Michael Whatley in North Carolina per March Harper (49-41%) and April Elon polls, and Democrats competitive against Susan Collins in Maine amid Emerson's 48% for their nominee. Michigan remains tight post-primary, but incumbency advantages and national midterm headwinds for the GOP majority bolster odds, though shifts hinge on turnout in swing states ahead of November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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