With the April 21 special election imminent, recent polls like Quantus Insights (51% Yes, 47% No) and Washington Post/Schar School (52% Yes among likely voters) show narrow support for the constitutional amendment allowing the General Assembly to temporarily redraw congressional districts before the 2031 Virginia Redistricting Commission cycle, driving trader consensus to price Yes at 86%. Stark partisan divides—Democrats at 90%+ support, Republicans overwhelmingly opposed—intersect with robust early voting turnout surpassing 2025 gubernatorial levels, particularly in Northern Virginia Democratic strongholds like Fairfax and Arlington counties. Republican mobilization efforts, including Speaker Johnson's rally, target rural turnout, but markets diverge from polling averages, betting on urban voter edges and low overall participation favoring Yes in this closely contested referendum enabled by state Supreme Court rulings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$442,698 Wol.
$442,698 Wol.
Apr 21, 2026
$442,698 Wol.
$442,698 Wol.
Apr 21, 2026
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).With the April 21 special election imminent, recent polls like Quantus Insights (51% Yes, 47% No) and Washington Post/Schar School (52% Yes among likely voters) show narrow support for the constitutional amendment allowing the General Assembly to temporarily redraw congressional districts before the 2031 Virginia Redistricting Commission cycle, driving trader consensus to price Yes at 86%. Stark partisan divides—Democrats at 90%+ support, Republicans overwhelmingly opposed—intersect with robust early voting turnout surpassing 2025 gubernatorial levels, particularly in Northern Virginia Democratic strongholds like Fairfax and Arlington counties. Republican mobilization efforts, including Speaker Johnson's rally, target rural turnout, but markets diverge from polling averages, betting on urban voter edges and low overall participation favoring Yes in this closely contested referendum enabled by state Supreme Court rulings.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$442,698Data zakończenia
Apr 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).With the April 21 special election imminent, recent polls like Quantus Insights (51% Yes, 47% No) and Washington Post/Schar School (52% Yes among likely voters) show narrow support for the constitutional amendment allowing the General Assembly to temporarily redraw congressional districts before the 2031 Virginia Redistricting Commission cycle, driving trader consensus to price Yes at 86%. Stark partisan divides—Democrats at 90%+ support, Republicans overwhelmingly opposed—intersect with robust early voting turnout surpassing 2025 gubernatorial levels, particularly in Northern Virginia Democratic strongholds like Fairfax and Arlington counties. Republican mobilization efforts, including Speaker Johnson's rally, target rural turnout, but markets diverge from polling averages, betting on urban voter edges and low overall participation favoring Yes in this closely contested referendum enabled by state Supreme Court rulings.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
Wolumen
$442,698Data zakończenia
Apr 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With the April 21 special election imminent, recent polls like Quantus Insights (51% Yes, 47% No) and Washington Post/Schar School (52% Yes among likely voters) show narrow support for the constitutional amendment allowing the General Assembly to temporarily redraw congressional districts before the 2031 Virginia Redistricting Commission cycle, driving trader consensus to price Yes at 86%. Stark partisan divides—Democrats at 90%+ support, Republicans overwhelmingly opposed—intersect with robust early voting turnout surpassing 2025 gubernatorial levels, particularly in Northern Virginia Democratic strongholds like Fairfax and Arlington counties. Republican mobilization efforts, including Speaker Johnson's rally, target rural turnout, but markets diverge from polling averages, betting on urban voter edges and low overall participation favoring Yes in this closely contested referendum enabled by state Supreme Court rulings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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