France enters Group I as the clear frontrunner, reflected in the 68.5% implied probability, owing to its deep roster featuring Kylian Mbappé, proven World Cup pedigree, and consistent high FIFA ranking. Norway sits at 21.5% on the strength of Erling Haaland’s scoring prowess and recent UEFA qualifying dominance that secured its berth. Senegal at 10.5% draws from its organized defense and competitive African Cup pedigree, while Iraq’s 1.1% reflects its status as the group’s lowest-ranked side with limited depth. With matches set for June 2026 and no group fixtures yet contested, trader consensus hinges on historical form, squad quality, and the demanding schedule at the expanded tournament.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWorld Cup Group I Winner
France 69%
Norway 22%
Senegal 11%
Iraq 1.1%
$191,108 Wol.
$191,108 Wol.
France
69%
Norway
22%
Senegal
11%
Iraq
1%
France 69%
Norway 22%
Senegal 11%
Iraq 1.1%
$191,108 Wol.
$191,108 Wol.
France
69%
Norway
22%
Senegal
11%
Iraq
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France enters Group I as the clear frontrunner, reflected in the 68.5% implied probability, owing to its deep roster featuring Kylian Mbappé, proven World Cup pedigree, and consistent high FIFA ranking. Norway sits at 21.5% on the strength of Erling Haaland’s scoring prowess and recent UEFA qualifying dominance that secured its berth. Senegal at 10.5% draws from its organized defense and competitive African Cup pedigree, while Iraq’s 1.1% reflects its status as the group’s lowest-ranked side with limited depth. With matches set for June 2026 and no group fixtures yet contested, trader consensus hinges on historical form, squad quality, and the demanding schedule at the expanded tournament.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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