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Qualifying predictions & odds

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Ligue 1: Team to qualify for UEFA Europa League

Ligue 1: Team to qualify for UEFA Europa League

61%

Lyon

$2.8K Vol.

$120 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

65%

Pakistan

$3M Vol.

$163K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

<1%

April 22

$89M Vol.

$14M today

$8M Liq.

4,489

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?

100%

April 26

$7M Vol.

$4M today

$1M Liq.

2,319

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

44%

June 30

$59M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

1,409

Ends in about 1 month

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

<1%

$31M Vol.

$721K today

$603K Liq.

3

Ends in 1 day

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

15%

$1M Vol.

$658K today

$164K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

56%

May 31

$8M Vol.

$459K today

$170K Liq.

231

Ends in 1 day

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

27%

December 31

$8M Vol.

$329K today

$443K Liq.

95

Ends in 8 months

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

53%

June 30

$36M Vol.

$292K today

$393K Liq.

719

Ends in 2 months

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

75%

No Meeting before May 11

$1M Vol.

$226K today

$200K Liq.

20

Ends in 12 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

36%

$3M Vol.

$154K today

$266K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

3%

April 30

$2M Vol.

$107K today

$31.0K Liq.

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

13%

Bahrain

$5M Vol.

$85.7K today

$145K Liq.

1

Ends in 1 day

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

1%

UAE

$3M Vol.

$70.4K today

$138K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

46%

$3M Vol.

$58.3K today

$287K Liq.

15

Ends in 6 months

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

20%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$53.9K today

$51.3K Liq.

84

Ends in 1 day

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

55%

$598K Vol.

$51.4K today

$169K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

97%

Alibaba

$412K Vol.

$59.6K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

66%

Other (incl $SPCX)

$5M Vol.

$157K Liq.

220

Ends in over 1 year

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 712 active markets for Qualifying that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Ligue 1: Team to qualify for UEFA Europa League”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $269.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 0% chance to April 22. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Qualifying predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.