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Estreito De Ormuz previsões e probabilidades

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

1%

$39M Vol.

$822K today

$445K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

35%

$10M Vol.

$358K today

$271K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

13%

$5M Vol.

$264K today

$173K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

90%

40+

$3M Vol.

$219K today

$147K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

81%

$3M Vol.

$288K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

73%

20-40

$350K Vol.

$64.6K today

$171K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

6%

$215K Vol.

$99.2K today

$79.4K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

9%

United States

$1M Vol.

$219K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 29?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 29?

82%

150+

$7.4K Vol.

$95.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?

70%

60+

$11.2K Vol.

$35.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 22?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 22?

99%

100+

$67.5K Vol.

$86.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 8 horas

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?

41%

40-60

$450 Vol.

$57.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

1%

$24.9K Vol.

$31.3K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

1%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

$13M Vol.

$69.8K today

$389K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

4%

August 31

$60M Vol.

$382K today

$1M Liq.

458

Ends há 3 meses

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

11%

September 30

$5M Vol.

$190K Liq.

139

Ends em 1 dia

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

1%

$1M Vol.

$157K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

30%

August 31

$31.9K Vol.

$46.2K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

27%

July 31

$488 Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

40%

December 31

$301K Vol.

$68.8K today

$170K Liq.

3

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 22 active markets for Estreito De Ormuz that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $142.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 4% chance to August 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Estreito De Ormuz predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.