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icon for A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?
Tecnologia·IA

A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?

icon for A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?
Tecnologia·IA

A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

28% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

28% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent official demonstrations of gold-medal and even perfect 42/42 scores by models such as Huawei’s Celia and Xiaohongshu’s dots-note 3.0 at the July 2026 IMO in Shanghai have shifted trader focus to strict market resolution criteria, including official participation rules, reproducible conditions without human steering, and verified grading timelines. Building on 2025 breakthroughs by Gemini Deep Think and OpenAI systems that first hit the 35-point gold threshold, these advances highlight rapid large language model progress in proof-based mathematics yet underscore persistent gaps in consistent, contest-eligible performance under IMO protocols. Key upcoming catalysts include final official result certifications and any announced rule clarifications that could alter the 36% market-implied Yes probability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Volume
$8,374
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent official demonstrations of gold-medal and even perfect 42/42 scores by models such as Huawei’s Celia and Xiaohongshu’s dots-note 3.0 at the July 2026 IMO in Shanghai have shifted trader focus to strict market resolution criteria, including official participation rules, reproducible conditions without human steering, and verified grading timelines. Building on 2025 breakthroughs by Gemini Deep Think and OpenAI systems that first hit the 35-point gold threshold, these advances highlight rapid large language model progress in proof-based mathematics yet underscore persistent gaps in consistent, contest-eligible performance under IMO protocols. Key upcoming catalysts include final official result certifications and any announced rule clarifications that could alter the 36% market-implied Yes probability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Volume
$8,374
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "IA ganha medalha de ouro na IMO em 2026?" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 12, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?" is "IA ganha medalha de ouro na IMO em 2026?" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.