The 2025 Canadian federal election produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney, with 169 seats. The Canada Elections Act sets the next fixed-date general election for no later than October 15, 2029, though the prime minister may advise the governor general to dissolve Parliament earlier following a loss of confidence, supply vote defeat, or strategic choice. Recent by-elections scheduled for August 31, 2026, and the minority status create potential triggers, but current parliamentary arithmetic and the short interval since the last contest keep near-term dissolution probabilities low in trader assessments. Polling shifts, opposition pressure, or legislative setbacks could alter timing within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$92,371 Vol.
31 dez 2026
31 de dezembro de 2026
6%
$92,371 Vol.
31 de dezembro de 2026
$714 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2025 Canadian federal election produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney, with 169 seats. The Canada Elections Act sets the next fixed-date general election for no later than October 15, 2029, though the prime minister may advise the governor general to dissolve Parliament earlier following a loss of confidence, supply vote defeat, or strategic choice. Recent by-elections scheduled for August 31, 2026, and the minority status create potential triggers, but current parliamentary arithmetic and the short interval since the last contest keep near-term dissolution probabilities low in trader assessments. Polling shifts, opposition pressure, or legislative setbacks could alter timing within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$92,371Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2025 Canadian federal election produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney, with 169 seats. The Canada Elections Act sets the next fixed-date general election for no later than October 15, 2029, though the prime minister may advise the governor general to dissolve Parliament earlier following a loss of confidence, supply vote defeat, or strategic choice. Recent by-elections scheduled for August 31, 2026, and the minority status create potential triggers, but current parliamentary arithmetic and the short interval since the last contest keep near-term dissolution probabilities low in trader assessments. Polling shifts, opposition pressure, or legislative setbacks could alter timing within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$92,371Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2025 Canadian federal election produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney, with 169 seats. The Canada Elections Act sets the next fixed-date general election for no later than October 15, 2029, though the prime minister may advise the governor general to dissolve Parliament earlier following a loss of confidence, supply vote defeat, or strategic choice. Recent by-elections scheduled for August 31, 2026, and the minority status create potential triggers, but current parliamentary arithmetic and the short interval since the last contest keep near-term dissolution probabilities low in trader assessments. Polling shifts, opposition pressure, or legislative setbacks could alter timing within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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