Canada's current minority Liberal government under Prime Minister Mark Carney, formed after the April 2025 federal election, requires ongoing parliamentary support from other parties to survive confidence votes and pass key legislation such as budgets. This structure raises the possibility of an earlier dissolution than the fixed-date maximum around 2029, though no immediate triggers like lost votes or coalition breakdowns have materialized. Trader sentiment on timing markets reflects the absence of acute instability or scheduled events such as leadership challenges, major policy defeats, or economic shocks that could force a snap election. Historical patterns show minority governments often endure 18–36 months depending on opposition dynamics and public polling trends.