**Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal majority government, secured through 2025 general election results plus later by-election gains and floor-crossings, gives the party a stable hold on power with no immediate need for a snap federal election.** The Canada Elections Act sets the next fixed-date vote for October 15, 2029, though the prime minister can request dissolution earlier. Recent activity centers on multiple federal by-elections, including three held August 31, 2026, in Beaches–East York, Chicoutimi–Le Fjord, and North Vancouver–Capilano, alongside additional vacancies. Carney has timed these around the Quebec provincial election on October 5, 2026, avoiding overlap where possible. With no confidence votes or supply defeats in prospect and a comfortable seat cushion, trader sentiment reflects limited near-term pressure for an early general election call.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$93,815 Vol.
31 dez 2026
31 de dezembro de 2026
5%
$93,815 Vol.
31 de dezembro de 2026
$2,158 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal majority government, secured through 2025 general election results plus later by-election gains and floor-crossings, gives the party a stable hold on power with no immediate need for a snap federal election.** The Canada Elections Act sets the next fixed-date vote for October 15, 2029, though the prime minister can request dissolution earlier. Recent activity centers on multiple federal by-elections, including three held August 31, 2026, in Beaches–East York, Chicoutimi–Le Fjord, and North Vancouver–Capilano, alongside additional vacancies. Carney has timed these around the Quebec provincial election on October 5, 2026, avoiding overlap where possible. With no confidence votes or supply defeats in prospect and a comfortable seat cushion, trader sentiment reflects limited near-term pressure for an early general election call.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$93,815Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal majority government, secured through 2025 general election results plus later by-election gains and floor-crossings, gives the party a stable hold on power with no immediate need for a snap federal election.** The Canada Elections Act sets the next fixed-date vote for October 15, 2029, though the prime minister can request dissolution earlier. Recent activity centers on multiple federal by-elections, including three held August 31, 2026, in Beaches–East York, Chicoutimi–Le Fjord, and North Vancouver–Capilano, alongside additional vacancies. Carney has timed these around the Quebec provincial election on October 5, 2026, avoiding overlap where possible. With no confidence votes or supply defeats in prospect and a comfortable seat cushion, trader sentiment reflects limited near-term pressure for an early general election call.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$93,815Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal majority government, secured through 2025 general election results plus later by-election gains and floor-crossings, gives the party a stable hold on power with no immediate need for a snap federal election.** The Canada Elections Act sets the next fixed-date vote for October 15, 2029, though the prime minister can request dissolution earlier. Recent activity centers on multiple federal by-elections, including three held August 31, 2026, in Beaches–East York, Chicoutimi–Le Fjord, and North Vancouver–Capilano, alongside additional vacancies. Carney has timed these around the Quebec provincial election on October 5, 2026, avoiding overlap where possible. With no confidence votes or supply defeats in prospect and a comfortable seat cushion, trader sentiment reflects limited near-term pressure for an early general election call.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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