Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30 MPC meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee's unanimous decision to hold at 3.75% in March amid sticky February CPI inflation at 3.0%—double the 2% target—despite services pressures. Recent labor data shows unemployment steady at 5.2% and regular wage growth slowing to a five-year low of 3.8% in the three months to January, providing modest relief but insufficient for policy easing. Governor Bailey's early April remarks cautioned markets against pricing hikes prematurely, solidifying hold expectations. A softer-than-expected March CPI print, due April 22, or further wage deceleration could pressure odds toward cuts, though upside inflation risks from energy persist.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoDecisão do Banco da Inglaterra em abril?
Decisão do Banco da Inglaterra em abril?
Nenhuma alteração 95.5%
Aumento 4.0%
Redução de mais de 50 pontos-base <1%
Redução de 25 pontos-base <1%
$455,072 Vol.
$455,072 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Redução de mais de 50 pontos-base
<1%
Redução de 25 pontos-base
<1%
Nenhuma alteração
96%
Aumento
4%
Nenhuma alteração 95.5%
Aumento 4.0%
Redução de mais de 50 pontos-base <1%
Redução de 25 pontos-base <1%
$455,072 Vol.
$455,072 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Redução de mais de 50 pontos-base
$76,321 Vol.
<1%
Redução de 25 pontos-base
$160,233 Vol.
<1%
Nenhuma alteração
$113,101 Vol.
96%
Aumento
$105,417 Vol.
4%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30 MPC meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee's unanimous decision to hold at 3.75% in March amid sticky February CPI inflation at 3.0%—double the 2% target—despite services pressures. Recent labor data shows unemployment steady at 5.2% and regular wage growth slowing to a five-year low of 3.8% in the three months to January, providing modest relief but insufficient for policy easing. Governor Bailey's early April remarks cautioned markets against pricing hikes prematurely, solidifying hold expectations. A softer-than-expected March CPI print, due April 22, or further wage deceleration could pressure odds toward cuts, though upside inflation risks from energy persist.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
Volume
$455,072Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30 MPC meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee's unanimous decision to hold at 3.75% in March amid sticky February CPI inflation at 3.0%—double the 2% target—despite services pressures. Recent labor data shows unemployment steady at 5.2% and regular wage growth slowing to a five-year low of 3.8% in the three months to January, providing modest relief but insufficient for policy easing. Governor Bailey's early April remarks cautioned markets against pricing hikes prematurely, solidifying hold expectations. A softer-than-expected March CPI print, due April 22, or further wage deceleration could pressure odds toward cuts, though upside inflation risks from energy persist.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$455,072Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30 MPC meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee's unanimous decision to hold at 3.75% in March amid sticky February CPI inflation at 3.0%—double the 2% target—despite services pressures. Recent labor data shows unemployment steady at 5.2% and regular wage growth slowing to a five-year low of 3.8% in the three months to January, providing modest relief but insufficient for policy easing. Governor Bailey's early April remarks cautioned markets against pricing hikes prematurely, solidifying hold expectations. A softer-than-expected March CPI print, due April 22, or further wage deceleration could pressure odds toward cuts, though upside inflation risks from energy persist.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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