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PolíTica EconóMica previsões e probabilidades

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US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

50%

July 31

$293K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

15

Ends em 18 dias

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

28%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$4.0K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

90%

No change

$5.1K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

66%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2.3K Vol.

$72.6K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

18%

$2M Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

69

Ends em 8 meses

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

99%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2M Vol.

$169K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

35%

$2.2K Vol.

$739 Liq.

Ends em 10 meses

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

98%

25 bps increase

$480K Vol.

$89.3K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

47%

$4.9K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

3

Ends em 10 meses

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

37%

Mike Waltz

$3.6K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

57%

↓ 0.0010

$113K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

45%

>2.5%

$30.0K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

22%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$853 Liq.

10

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

135

Ends em 7 meses

2026 World GDP Growth

2026 World GDP Growth

39%

3.0%

$17.7K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

3%

$4.1K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

8%

$27.7K Vol.

$766 Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

What price will Ethena hit in June?

What price will Ethena hit in June?

13%

↑ 0.12

$2.1K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

74%

Decrease

$274K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

29%

1

$3.3K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PolíTica EconóMica.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for PolíTica EconóMica that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x Cuba economic deal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Negative GDP growth in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 38% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PolíTica EconóMica predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.