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Tarifas previsões e probabilidades

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Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

57%

$367K Vol.

$29.6K Liq.

60

Ends em 2 meses

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

4%

$45.6K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

4

Ends em 2 meses

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

13%

$32.9K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

4

Ends em 2 meses

Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by...?

83%

June 30

$27M Vol.

$254K today

$450K Liq.

478

Ends em 1 dia

Will Trump visit China on...?

Will Trump visit China on...?

25%

May 14

$5.2K Vol.

$49.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

27%

South Korea

$260K Vol.

$256K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

50%

800–900B

$20.0K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends em 10 meses

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

11%

$10.8K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

29%

June 30

$184K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

15

Ends em 2 meses

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

5%

May 4

$97.7K Vol.

$53.1K Liq.

10

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

53%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$22.8K Liq.

112

Ends em 2 meses

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

83%

$307 Vol.

$771 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

84%

↓ 0.0014

$106K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

19%

↑ $3

$629K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

98%

Silver

$36.3K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Major US official out by April 30?

Major US official out by April 30?

12%

$14.5K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

9

Ends em 1 dia

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

92%

$21.3K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

58%

$513K Vol.

$44.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

39%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$217 Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

38%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

4

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Tarifas.

Polymarket currently hosts 110 active markets for Tarifas that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $32.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Trump visit China by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Trump visit China by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 83% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Tarifas predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.