The September 20 Berlin state election delivered a clear outcome for second place, with the CDU securing roughly 18.8 percent of the party-list vote behind Die Linke’s 25.7 percent lead. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition suffered substantial losses amid voter focus on housing affordability and urban policy, while the AfD rose to 16.3 percent but remained behind the CDU. Greens and SPD followed further back. Trader consensus at 100 percent for the CDU reflects these preliminary official tallies and the absence of any realistic path for another party to overtake it before final certification. Late adjustments or disputes over specific districts remain the only narrow variables that could still affect resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCDU 100.0%
AfD <1%
Grüne <1%
SPD <1%
$77,083 Vol.
$77,083 Vol.

CDU
Sim

AfD
Não

Grüne
Não

SPD
Não

FDP
Não

Linke
Não

FW
Não

BSW
Não
CDU 100.0%
AfD <1%
Grüne <1%
SPD <1%
$77,083 Vol.
$77,083 Vol.

CDU
Sim

AfD
Não

Grüne
Não

SPD
Não

FDP
Não

Linke
Não

FW
Não

BSW
Não
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Mercado Aberto: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
The September 20 Berlin state election delivered a clear outcome for second place, with the CDU securing roughly 18.8 percent of the party-list vote behind Die Linke’s 25.7 percent lead. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition suffered substantial losses amid voter focus on housing affordability and urban policy, while the AfD rose to 16.3 percent but remained behind the CDU. Greens and SPD followed further back. Trader consensus at 100 percent for the CDU reflects these preliminary official tallies and the absence of any realistic path for another party to overtake it before final certification. Late adjustments or disputes over specific districts remain the only narrow variables that could still affect resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions