Stronger-than-expected first-half 2026 performance, with Q2 GDP rising 0.3% quarter-on-quarter after a revised 0.4% Q1 gain, has prompted major upward revisions to full-year forecasts and supports the market's leading 1.3%+ outcome. Institutes including IW, IMK, and Kiel now project 1.2–1.3% calendar-adjusted annual growth for 2026, citing robust exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure. However, Q3 momentum faces headwinds from low Rhine water levels expected to trim output by around 0.2 percentage points, alongside elevated 2.7% inflation eroding real wages and subdued private investment. Business sentiment has improved but remains fragile amid structural cost pressures and geopolitical risks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado1.3%+ 43%
0.7-0.9% 31%
1.0-1.2% 21%
≤0.0% <1%
$45,882 Vol.
$45,882 Vol.
30 out 2026
≤0.0%
1%
0.1-0.3%
1%
0.4-0.6%
1%
0.7-0.9%
31%
1.0-1.2%
21%
1.3%+
43%
1.3%+ 43%
0.7-0.9% 31%
1.0-1.2% 21%
≤0.0% <1%
$45,882 Vol.
$45,882 Vol.
30 out 2026
≤0.0%
$1,908 Vol.
1%
0.1-0.3%
$2,032 Vol.
1%
0.4-0.6%
$1,089 Vol.
1%
0.7-0.9%
$7,852 Vol.
31%
1.0-1.2%
$24,974 Vol.
21%
1.3%+
$8,026 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Stronger-than-expected first-half 2026 performance, with Q2 GDP rising 0.3% quarter-on-quarter after a revised 0.4% Q1 gain, has prompted major upward revisions to full-year forecasts and supports the market's leading 1.3%+ outcome. Institutes including IW, IMK, and Kiel now project 1.2–1.3% calendar-adjusted annual growth for 2026, citing robust exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure. However, Q3 momentum faces headwinds from low Rhine water levels expected to trim output by around 0.2 percentage points, alongside elevated 2.7% inflation eroding real wages and subdued private investment. Business sentiment has improved but remains fragile amid structural cost pressures and geopolitical risks.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volume
$45,882Data de Término
30 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Stronger-than-expected first-half 2026 performance, with Q2 GDP rising 0.3% quarter-on-quarter after a revised 0.4% Q1 gain, has prompted major upward revisions to full-year forecasts and supports the market's leading 1.3%+ outcome. Institutes including IW, IMK, and Kiel now project 1.2–1.3% calendar-adjusted annual growth for 2026, citing robust exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure. However, Q3 momentum faces headwinds from low Rhine water levels expected to trim output by around 0.2 percentage points, alongside elevated 2.7% inflation eroding real wages and subdued private investment. Business sentiment has improved but remains fragile amid structural cost pressures and geopolitical risks.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$45,882Data de Término
30 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stronger-than-expected first-half 2026 performance, with Q2 GDP rising 0.3% quarter-on-quarter after a revised 0.4% Q1 gain, has prompted major upward revisions to full-year forecasts and supports the market's leading 1.3%+ outcome. Institutes including IW, IMK, and Kiel now project 1.2–1.3% calendar-adjusted annual growth for 2026, citing robust exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure. However, Q3 momentum faces headwinds from low Rhine water levels expected to trim output by around 0.2 percentage points, alongside elevated 2.7% inflation eroding real wages and subdued private investment. Business sentiment has improved but remains fragile amid structural cost pressures and geopolitical risks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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