Recent Euro area GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, with the annual rate reaching 1.0%, supported by resilient domestic demand outside Ireland-related distortions and improving August composite PMI readings at 52.1. These results, alongside upward revisions to Q1 figures, underpin trader positioning for 0.8-1.1% growth in Q3 as the modal outcome. Persistent energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions have prompted the ECB to raise rates in June and signal a potential September hike to 2.50%, tempering momentum expectations while inflation hovers near 3%. Markets price in this moderate growth path ahead of September data releases and staff projections, reflecting balanced risks from supply constraints and external demand.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado0.8-1.1% 47%
0.4-0.7% 31%
1.2-1.5% 7.4%
0.0-0.3% 4.9%
$46,178 Vol.
$46,178 Vol.
30 out 2026
<0.0%
<1%
0.0-0.3%
5%
0.4-0.7%
32%
0.8-1.1%
47%
1.2-1.5%
7%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
4%
0.8-1.1% 47%
0.4-0.7% 31%
1.2-1.5% 7.4%
0.0-0.3% 4.9%
$46,178 Vol.
$46,178 Vol.
30 out 2026
<0.0%
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
0.0-0.3%
$953 Vol.
5%
0.4-0.7%
$7,471 Vol.
32%
0.8-1.1%
$33,498 Vol.
47%
1.2-1.5%
$1,482 Vol.
7%
1.6-1.9%
$848 Vol.
<1%
2.0%+
$797 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Euro area GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, with the annual rate reaching 1.0%, supported by resilient domestic demand outside Ireland-related distortions and improving August composite PMI readings at 52.1. These results, alongside upward revisions to Q1 figures, underpin trader positioning for 0.8-1.1% growth in Q3 as the modal outcome. Persistent energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions have prompted the ECB to raise rates in June and signal a potential September hike to 2.50%, tempering momentum expectations while inflation hovers near 3%. Markets price in this moderate growth path ahead of September data releases and staff projections, reflecting balanced risks from supply constraints and external demand.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volume
$46,178Data de Término
30 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Euro area GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, with the annual rate reaching 1.0%, supported by resilient domestic demand outside Ireland-related distortions and improving August composite PMI readings at 52.1. These results, alongside upward revisions to Q1 figures, underpin trader positioning for 0.8-1.1% growth in Q3 as the modal outcome. Persistent energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions have prompted the ECB to raise rates in June and signal a potential September hike to 2.50%, tempering momentum expectations while inflation hovers near 3%. Markets price in this moderate growth path ahead of September data releases and staff projections, reflecting balanced risks from supply constraints and external demand.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$46,178Data de Término
30 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Euro area GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, with the annual rate reaching 1.0%, supported by resilient domestic demand outside Ireland-related distortions and improving August composite PMI readings at 52.1. These results, alongside upward revisions to Q1 figures, underpin trader positioning for 0.8-1.1% growth in Q3 as the modal outcome. Persistent energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions have prompted the ECB to raise rates in June and signal a potential September hike to 2.50%, tempering momentum expectations while inflation hovers near 3%. Markets price in this moderate growth path ahead of September data releases and staff projections, reflecting balanced risks from supply constraints and external demand.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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