ECB staff projections released September 10, 2026, forecast 0.9% euro area real GDP growth for 2026—revised up 0.1 percentage point from June—consistent with market-implied odds concentrating on the 0-1.0% outcome. Q2 GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding expectations and signaling resilience to Middle East conflict effects, while improving confidence and fiscal loosening support activity. Energy price pressures from the conflict continue to elevate headline inflation toward 3.0% this year, prompting the ECB’s 25-basis-point rate hike, and seasonal factors such as recent heat waves may temper Q3 momentum. Traders appear to price in subdued expansion amid these crosscurrents ahead of additional quarterly data and the December ECB meeting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCrescimento Anual do PIB da Zona Euro 2026
Crescimento Anual do PIB da Zona Euro 2026
0-1,0% 62.9%
1,0-2,0% 35%
<0% 2.1%
6,0-7,0% <1%
$50,461 Vol.
$50,461 Vol.
30 jan 2027
<0%
2%
0-1,0%
63%
1,0-2,0%
35%
2,0-3,0%
<1%
3,0-4,0%
<1%
4,0-5,0%
<1%
5,0-6,0%
<1%
6,0-7,0%
<1%
7,0%+
<1%
0-1,0% 62.9%
1,0-2,0% 35%
<0% 2.1%
6,0-7,0% <1%
$50,461 Vol.
$50,461 Vol.
30 jan 2027
<0%
$2,837 Vol.
2%
0-1,0%
$16,055 Vol.
63%
1,0-2,0%
$14,814 Vol.
35%
2,0-3,0%
$2,308 Vol.
<1%
3,0-4,0%
$2,212 Vol.
<1%
4,0-5,0%
$3,338 Vol.
<1%
5,0-6,0%
$2,290 Vol.
<1%
6,0-7,0%
$3,762 Vol.
<1%
7,0%+
$2,844 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.ECB staff projections released September 10, 2026, forecast 0.9% euro area real GDP growth for 2026—revised up 0.1 percentage point from June—consistent with market-implied odds concentrating on the 0-1.0% outcome. Q2 GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding expectations and signaling resilience to Middle East conflict effects, while improving confidence and fiscal loosening support activity. Energy price pressures from the conflict continue to elevate headline inflation toward 3.0% this year, prompting the ECB’s 25-basis-point rate hike, and seasonal factors such as recent heat waves may temper Q3 momentum. Traders appear to price in subdued expansion amid these crosscurrents ahead of additional quarterly data and the December ECB meeting.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Volume
$50,461Data de Término
31 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.ECB staff projections released September 10, 2026, forecast 0.9% euro area real GDP growth for 2026—revised up 0.1 percentage point from June—consistent with market-implied odds concentrating on the 0-1.0% outcome. Q2 GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding expectations and signaling resilience to Middle East conflict effects, while improving confidence and fiscal loosening support activity. Energy price pressures from the conflict continue to elevate headline inflation toward 3.0% this year, prompting the ECB’s 25-basis-point rate hike, and seasonal factors such as recent heat waves may temper Q3 momentum. Traders appear to price in subdued expansion amid these crosscurrents ahead of additional quarterly data and the December ECB meeting.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$50,461Data de Término
31 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...ECB staff projections released September 10, 2026, forecast 0.9% euro area real GDP growth for 2026—revised up 0.1 percentage point from June—consistent with market-implied odds concentrating on the 0-1.0% outcome. Q2 GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding expectations and signaling resilience to Middle East conflict effects, while improving confidence and fiscal loosening support activity. Energy price pressures from the conflict continue to elevate headline inflation toward 3.0% this year, prompting the ECB’s 25-basis-point rate hike, and seasonal factors such as recent heat waves may temper Q3 momentum. Traders appear to price in subdued expansion amid these crosscurrents ahead of additional quarterly data and the December ECB meeting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions