Recent August core CPI data, which printed at 2.4% year-over-year with a hotter-than-expected 0.3% month-over-month gain versus 0.2% forecasts, has intensified trader focus on sticky underlying price pressures for the September 2026 release. Elevated energy costs, particularly gasoline, and shelter components continue to anchor the trajectory near 2.4-2.5%, while the closely matched implied probabilities across 2.3-2.6% outcomes underscore uncertainty around whether monthly momentum sustains amid potential supply shocks and resilient consumer demand. Key swing factors include upcoming labor market releases, Treasury yield movements, and the Federal Reserve's September policy decision, which could influence forward inflation expectations through tighter financial conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado2,5% 22%
2,4% 20%
2,3% 16%
2,6% 16%
NOVO
NOVO
14 out 2026
≤2,0%
4%
2,1%
8%
2,2%
8%
2,3%
16%
2,4%
20%
2,5%
22%
2,6%
16%
2,7%
8%
2,8%
4%
≥2,9%
11%
2,5% 22%
2,4% 20%
2,3% 16%
2,6% 16%
NOVO
NOVO
14 out 2026
≤2,0%
$61 Vol.
4%
2,1%
$61 Vol.
8%
2,2%
$61 Vol.
8%
2,3%
$61 Vol.
16%
2,4%
$101 Vol.
20%
2,5%
$74 Vol.
22%
2,6%
$61 Vol.
16%
2,7%
$81 Vol.
8%
2,8%
$61 Vol.
4%
≥2,9%
$96 Vol.
11%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August core CPI data, which printed at 2.4% year-over-year with a hotter-than-expected 0.3% month-over-month gain versus 0.2% forecasts, has intensified trader focus on sticky underlying price pressures for the September 2026 release. Elevated energy costs, particularly gasoline, and shelter components continue to anchor the trajectory near 2.4-2.5%, while the closely matched implied probabilities across 2.3-2.6% outcomes underscore uncertainty around whether monthly momentum sustains amid potential supply shocks and resilient consumer demand. Key swing factors include upcoming labor market releases, Treasury yield movements, and the Federal Reserve's September policy decision, which could influence forward inflation expectations through tighter financial conditions.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Volume
$718Data de Término
15 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August core CPI data, which printed at 2.4% year-over-year with a hotter-than-expected 0.3% month-over-month gain versus 0.2% forecasts, has intensified trader focus on sticky underlying price pressures for the September 2026 release. Elevated energy costs, particularly gasoline, and shelter components continue to anchor the trajectory near 2.4-2.5%, while the closely matched implied probabilities across 2.3-2.6% outcomes underscore uncertainty around whether monthly momentum sustains amid potential supply shocks and resilient consumer demand. Key swing factors include upcoming labor market releases, Treasury yield movements, and the Federal Reserve's September policy decision, which could influence forward inflation expectations through tighter financial conditions.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$718Data de Término
15 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August core CPI data, which printed at 2.4% year-over-year with a hotter-than-expected 0.3% month-over-month gain versus 0.2% forecasts, has intensified trader focus on sticky underlying price pressures for the September 2026 release. Elevated energy costs, particularly gasoline, and shelter components continue to anchor the trajectory near 2.4-2.5%, while the closely matched implied probabilities across 2.3-2.6% outcomes underscore uncertainty around whether monthly momentum sustains amid potential supply shocks and resilient consumer demand. Key swing factors include upcoming labor market releases, Treasury yield movements, and the Federal Reserve's September policy decision, which could influence forward inflation expectations through tighter financial conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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