Recent hotter-than-expected August core CPI at +0.3% month-over-month, versus the 0.2% consensus, has heightened uncertainty around the September reading by underscoring persistent underlying price pressures from shelter and services amid elevated energy costs. Market-implied odds reflect this contest, with 0.2% holding a narrow lead near 41% while outcomes from ≤0.0% to 0.1% cluster closely behind, signaling divided trader sentiment on whether the August acceleration proves transitory. Broader context includes the Federal Reserve’s upcoming September policy decision and the September 11 release’s impact on rate-hike probabilities, with analysts projecting a 0.3% print for September and the data due mid-October. Volatile components and labor-market trends remain key swing factors that could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado0,4% 48%
0,3% 46%
0,5% 44%
0,6%+ 44%
NOVO
NOVO
14 out 2026
≤0,0%
37%
0,1%
39%
0,2%
28%
0,3%
46%
0,4%
48%
0,5%
44%
0,6%+
44%
0,4% 48%
0,3% 46%
0,5% 44%
0,6%+ 44%
NOVO
NOVO
14 out 2026
≤0,0%
$0 Vol.
37%
0,1%
$0 Vol.
39%
0,2%
$0 Vol.
28%
0,3%
$0 Vol.
46%
0,4%
$0 Vol.
48%
0,5%
$0 Vol.
44%
0,6%+
$0 Vol.
44%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent hotter-than-expected August core CPI at +0.3% month-over-month, versus the 0.2% consensus, has heightened uncertainty around the September reading by underscoring persistent underlying price pressures from shelter and services amid elevated energy costs. Market-implied odds reflect this contest, with 0.2% holding a narrow lead near 41% while outcomes from ≤0.0% to 0.1% cluster closely behind, signaling divided trader sentiment on whether the August acceleration proves transitory. Broader context includes the Federal Reserve’s upcoming September policy decision and the September 11 release’s impact on rate-hike probabilities, with analysts projecting a 0.3% print for September and the data due mid-October. Volatile components and labor-market trends remain key swing factors that could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
15 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent hotter-than-expected August core CPI at +0.3% month-over-month, versus the 0.2% consensus, has heightened uncertainty around the September reading by underscoring persistent underlying price pressures from shelter and services amid elevated energy costs. Market-implied odds reflect this contest, with 0.2% holding a narrow lead near 41% while outcomes from ≤0.0% to 0.1% cluster closely behind, signaling divided trader sentiment on whether the August acceleration proves transitory. Broader context includes the Federal Reserve’s upcoming September policy decision and the September 11 release’s impact on rate-hike probabilities, with analysts projecting a 0.3% print for September and the data due mid-October. Volatile components and labor-market trends remain key swing factors that could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$0Data de Término
15 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent hotter-than-expected August core CPI at +0.3% month-over-month, versus the 0.2% consensus, has heightened uncertainty around the September reading by underscoring persistent underlying price pressures from shelter and services amid elevated energy costs. Market-implied odds reflect this contest, with 0.2% holding a narrow lead near 41% while outcomes from ≤0.0% to 0.1% cluster closely behind, signaling divided trader sentiment on whether the August acceleration proves transitory. Broader context includes the Federal Reserve’s upcoming September policy decision and the September 11 release’s impact on rate-hike probabilities, with analysts projecting a 0.3% print for September and the data due mid-October. Volatile components and labor-market trends remain key swing factors that could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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