Recent July CPI data showing a 2.1% monthly rise and 33.8% year-over-year rate, following June's 1.9% print, anchors trader focus on Argentina's ongoing disinflation under fiscal balance and managed exchange-rate policies. Central bank REM surveys and analyst medians now cluster near 29.8% for end-2026, while IMF projections target 25%, creating tight positioning between the 25-29.9% and 30.0-34.9% outcome bins at roughly equal implied probabilities. Seasonal factors, core inflation near 1.6-1.8% monthly, and stable energy prices support further moderation, yet inertia in regulated and service prices plus potential volatility in food categories introduce uncertainty over whether the annual rate settles in the high-20s or low-30s by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado30,0-34,9% 50.9%
25-29,9% 45%
20-24,9% 2.1%
45%+ 1.9%
$42,528 Vol.
$42,528 Vol.
9 jan 2027
<20%
2%
20-24,9%
2%
25-29,9%
45%
30,0-34,9%
51%
35–39,9%
<1%
40-44,9%
1%
45%+
2%
30,0-34,9% 50.9%
25-29,9% 45%
20-24,9% 2.1%
45%+ 1.9%
$42,528 Vol.
$42,528 Vol.
9 jan 2027
<20%
$4,648 Vol.
2%
20-24,9%
$3,216 Vol.
2%
25-29,9%
$12,514 Vol.
45%
30,0-34,9%
$11,789 Vol.
51%
35–39,9%
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
40-44,9%
$3,553 Vol.
1%
45%+
$3,439 Vol.
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July CPI data showing a 2.1% monthly rise and 33.8% year-over-year rate, following June's 1.9% print, anchors trader focus on Argentina's ongoing disinflation under fiscal balance and managed exchange-rate policies. Central bank REM surveys and analyst medians now cluster near 29.8% for end-2026, while IMF projections target 25%, creating tight positioning between the 25-29.9% and 30.0-34.9% outcome bins at roughly equal implied probabilities. Seasonal factors, core inflation near 1.6-1.8% monthly, and stable energy prices support further moderation, yet inertia in regulated and service prices plus potential volatility in food categories introduce uncertainty over whether the annual rate settles in the high-20s or low-30s by year-end.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$42,528Data de Término
10 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July CPI data showing a 2.1% monthly rise and 33.8% year-over-year rate, following June's 1.9% print, anchors trader focus on Argentina's ongoing disinflation under fiscal balance and managed exchange-rate policies. Central bank REM surveys and analyst medians now cluster near 29.8% for end-2026, while IMF projections target 25%, creating tight positioning between the 25-29.9% and 30.0-34.9% outcome bins at roughly equal implied probabilities. Seasonal factors, core inflation near 1.6-1.8% monthly, and stable energy prices support further moderation, yet inertia in regulated and service prices plus potential volatility in food categories introduce uncertainty over whether the annual rate settles in the high-20s or low-30s by year-end.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$42,528Data de Término
10 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent July CPI data showing a 2.1% monthly rise and 33.8% year-over-year rate, following June's 1.9% print, anchors trader focus on Argentina's ongoing disinflation under fiscal balance and managed exchange-rate policies. Central bank REM surveys and analyst medians now cluster near 29.8% for end-2026, while IMF projections target 25%, creating tight positioning between the 25-29.9% and 30.0-34.9% outcome bins at roughly equal implied probabilities. Seasonal factors, core inflation near 1.6-1.8% monthly, and stable energy prices support further moderation, yet inertia in regulated and service prices plus potential volatility in food categories introduce uncertainty over whether the annual rate settles in the high-20s or low-30s by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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