Recent July CPI data cooling to 3.4% year-over-year from 3.5% has anchored trader expectations for the August print near current levels, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast pointing to 3.36%. Muted monthly gains in shelter and energy components, alongside a core rate at 2.5%, support the market's tight clustering around 3.3-3.4% as the base case. Persistent above-target readings continue to influence Fed policy deliberations, while upcoming August economic releases and any shifts in commodity prices or labor costs represent key swing factors that could tilt the outcome. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning backed by real capital amid these near-term data dependencies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado3,4% 37%
3,3% 28%
3,5% 18%
3,6% 7%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
≤2,9%
3%
3,0%
3%
3,1%
2%
3,2%
5%
3,3%
28%
3,4%
37%
3,5%
18%
3,6%
7%
3,7%
5%
3,8%
4%
3,9%
3%
≥4,0%
2%
3,4% 37%
3,3% 28%
3,5% 18%
3,6% 7%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
≤2,9%
$72 Vol.
3%
3,0%
$72 Vol.
3%
3,1%
$72 Vol.
2%
3,2%
$72 Vol.
5%
3,3%
$313 Vol.
28%
3,4%
$1,561 Vol.
37%
3,5%
$200 Vol.
18%
3,6%
$72 Vol.
7%
3,7%
$171 Vol.
5%
3,8%
$192 Vol.
4%
3,9%
$192 Vol.
3%
≥4,0%
$64 Vol.
2%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data cooling to 3.4% year-over-year from 3.5% has anchored trader expectations for the August print near current levels, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast pointing to 3.36%. Muted monthly gains in shelter and energy components, alongside a core rate at 2.5%, support the market's tight clustering around 3.3-3.4% as the base case. Persistent above-target readings continue to influence Fed policy deliberations, while upcoming August economic releases and any shifts in commodity prices or labor costs represent key swing factors that could tilt the outcome. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning backed by real capital amid these near-term data dependencies.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$3,051Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data cooling to 3.4% year-over-year from 3.5% has anchored trader expectations for the August print near current levels, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast pointing to 3.36%. Muted monthly gains in shelter and energy components, alongside a core rate at 2.5%, support the market's tight clustering around 3.3-3.4% as the base case. Persistent above-target readings continue to influence Fed policy deliberations, while upcoming August economic releases and any shifts in commodity prices or labor costs represent key swing factors that could tilt the outcome. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning backed by real capital amid these near-term data dependencies.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$3,051Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data cooling to 3.4% year-over-year from 3.5% has anchored trader expectations for the August print near current levels, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast pointing to 3.36%. Muted monthly gains in shelter and energy components, alongside a core rate at 2.5%, support the market's tight clustering around 3.3-3.4% as the base case. Persistent above-target readings continue to influence Fed policy deliberations, while upcoming August economic releases and any shifts in commodity prices or labor costs represent key swing factors that could tilt the outcome. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning backed by real capital amid these near-term data dependencies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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