Recent July 2026 consumer price data showing a 2.8% year-over-year rate, down from June’s 3.2% peak and below expectations, has tempered near-term pressures from oil and transport costs while core measures remain elevated near 2.5–2.6%. Stronger-than-expected GDP growth, revised upward to 3.2% for 2026 by KDI amid semiconductor and AI-driven exports, alongside Bank of Korea rate hikes to 2.75% and signals of further tightening, sustain demand-side risks that keep 3.0%+ outcomes competitive. Analyst projections cluster around 2.7–2.8% for full-year 2026 inflation, balancing fading supply shocks against persistent service and wage pressures, which explains the tight market-implied odds between the 2.4–2.6%, 2.7–2.9%, and 3.0%+ buckets ahead of August CPI and upcoming monetary policy decisions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado2,7% a 2,9% 32.8%
3,0%+ 28.6%
2,4% a 2,6% 28.0%
2,1% a 2,3% 7.8%
$31,358 Vol.
$31,358 Vol.
<1,5%
3%
1,5% a 1,7%
3%
1,8% a 2,0%
3%
2,1% a 2,3%
8%
2,4% a 2,6%
28%
2,7% a 2,9%
33%
3,0%+
29%
2,7% a 2,9% 32.8%
3,0%+ 28.6%
2,4% a 2,6% 28.0%
2,1% a 2,3% 7.8%
$31,358 Vol.
$31,358 Vol.
<1,5%
3%
1,5% a 1,7%
3%
1,8% a 2,0%
3%
2,1% a 2,3%
8%
2,4% a 2,6%
28%
2,7% a 2,9%
33%
3,0%+
29%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado Aberto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent July 2026 consumer price data showing a 2.8% year-over-year rate, down from June’s 3.2% peak and below expectations, has tempered near-term pressures from oil and transport costs while core measures remain elevated near 2.5–2.6%. Stronger-than-expected GDP growth, revised upward to 3.2% for 2026 by KDI amid semiconductor and AI-driven exports, alongside Bank of Korea rate hikes to 2.75% and signals of further tightening, sustain demand-side risks that keep 3.0%+ outcomes competitive. Analyst projections cluster around 2.7–2.8% for full-year 2026 inflation, balancing fading supply shocks against persistent service and wage pressures, which explains the tight market-implied odds between the 2.4–2.6%, 2.7–2.9%, and 3.0%+ buckets ahead of August CPI and upcoming monetary policy decisions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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