Recent July 2026 CPI data cooling to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in June, alongside the Bank of Korea’s maintained 2.7% full-year headline forecast and the government’s 2.6% projection, anchor trader sentiment around the 2.4–2.9% range for annual inflation. Persistent upward pressures from elevated oil prices, strong semiconductor-driven domestic demand, and core inflation near 2.6% support the sizable probability on outcomes at or above 3.0%, while moderating transport and food components and expectations for policy restraint limit downside bets below 2.1%. With the leading three buckets within roughly five percentage points, positioning hinges on upcoming monthly prints, energy price trajectories, and any further Bank of Korea communications on the 2% target.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado2,7% a 2,9% 32.7%
2,4% a 2,6% 27.8%
3,0%+ 27.3%
2,1% a 2,3% 14.5%
$31,176 Vol.
$31,176 Vol.
<1,5%
5%
1,5% a 1,7%
4%
1,8% a 2,0%
2%
2,1% a 2,3%
15%
2,4% a 2,6%
28%
2,7% a 2,9%
33%
3,0%+
27%
2,7% a 2,9% 32.7%
2,4% a 2,6% 27.8%
3,0%+ 27.3%
2,1% a 2,3% 14.5%
$31,176 Vol.
$31,176 Vol.
<1,5%
5%
1,5% a 1,7%
4%
1,8% a 2,0%
2%
2,1% a 2,3%
15%
2,4% a 2,6%
28%
2,7% a 2,9%
33%
3,0%+
27%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado Aberto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent July 2026 CPI data cooling to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in June, alongside the Bank of Korea’s maintained 2.7% full-year headline forecast and the government’s 2.6% projection, anchor trader sentiment around the 2.4–2.9% range for annual inflation. Persistent upward pressures from elevated oil prices, strong semiconductor-driven domestic demand, and core inflation near 2.6% support the sizable probability on outcomes at or above 3.0%, while moderating transport and food components and expectations for policy restraint limit downside bets below 2.1%. With the leading three buckets within roughly five percentage points, positioning hinges on upcoming monthly prints, energy price trajectories, and any further Bank of Korea communications on the 2% target.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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