Recent June 2026 CPI data showing a 3.2% year-over-year rise, the highest since late 2023, has anchored trader focus on South Korea’s full-year inflation average, with the Bank of Korea and Ministry of Economy and Finance both lifting their 2026 forecasts to 2.7% and 2.6% respectively. Elevated energy and transport costs, a weaker won, and pass-through from prior oil shocks continue to push readings above the 2% target despite the central bank’s July rate hike to 2.75%. Market-implied odds cluster around the 2.7–2.9% band because official projections and recent momentum point there, while the 26% probability on 3.0%+ reflects upside risks from persistent geopolitical pressures on commodities. Lower ranges below 2.4% carry limited weight given the current trajectory and limited scope for rapid disinflation before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado2,7% a 2,9% 37.9%
3,0%+ 26%
2,4% a 2,6% 21.6%
2,1% a 2,3% 11.6%
$21,283 Vol.
$21,283 Vol.
31 dez 2026
<1,5%
1%
1,5% a 1,7%
2%
1,8% a 2,0%
2%
2,1% a 2,3%
12%
2,4% a 2,6%
22%
2,7% a 2,9%
38%
3,0%+
26%
2,7% a 2,9% 37.9%
3,0%+ 26%
2,4% a 2,6% 21.6%
2,1% a 2,3% 11.6%
$21,283 Vol.
$21,283 Vol.
31 dez 2026
<1,5%
$1,909 Vol.
1%
1,5% a 1,7%
$1,701 Vol.
2%
1,8% a 2,0%
$882 Vol.
2%
2,1% a 2,3%
$2,728 Vol.
12%
2,4% a 2,6%
$1,038 Vol.
22%
2,7% a 2,9%
$2,897 Vol.
38%
3,0%+
$10,127 Vol.
26%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent June 2026 CPI data showing a 3.2% year-over-year rise, the highest since late 2023, has anchored trader focus on South Korea’s full-year inflation average, with the Bank of Korea and Ministry of Economy and Finance both lifting their 2026 forecasts to 2.7% and 2.6% respectively. Elevated energy and transport costs, a weaker won, and pass-through from prior oil shocks continue to push readings above the 2% target despite the central bank’s July rate hike to 2.75%. Market-implied odds cluster around the 2.7–2.9% band because official projections and recent momentum point there, while the 26% probability on 3.0%+ reflects upside risks from persistent geopolitical pressures on commodities. Lower ranges below 2.4% carry limited weight given the current trajectory and limited scope for rapid disinflation before year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado Aberto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$21,283Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent June 2026 CPI data showing a 3.2% year-over-year rise, the highest since late 2023, has anchored trader focus on South Korea’s full-year inflation average, with the Bank of Korea and Ministry of Economy and Finance both lifting their 2026 forecasts to 2.7% and 2.6% respectively. Elevated energy and transport costs, a weaker won, and pass-through from prior oil shocks continue to push readings above the 2% target despite the central bank’s July rate hike to 2.75%. Market-implied odds cluster around the 2.7–2.9% band because official projections and recent momentum point there, while the 26% probability on 3.0%+ reflects upside risks from persistent geopolitical pressures on commodities. Lower ranges below 2.4% carry limited weight given the current trajectory and limited scope for rapid disinflation before year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$21,283Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent June 2026 CPI data showing a 3.2% year-over-year rise, the highest since late 2023, has anchored trader focus on South Korea’s full-year inflation average, with the Bank of Korea and Ministry of Economy and Finance both lifting their 2026 forecasts to 2.7% and 2.6% respectively. Elevated energy and transport costs, a weaker won, and pass-through from prior oil shocks continue to push readings above the 2% target despite the central bank’s July rate hike to 2.75%. Market-implied odds cluster around the 2.7–2.9% band because official projections and recent momentum point there, while the 26% probability on 3.0%+ reflects upside risks from persistent geopolitical pressures on commodities. Lower ranges below 2.4% carry limited weight given the current trajectory and limited scope for rapid disinflation before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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