Recent South Korean CPI data showing 3.2% year-over-year inflation in June 2026—the highest since late 2023—driven by energy and transport costs amid a weaker won, has anchored trader sentiment for the full-year average near 2.5-2.8%. Government forecasts now project 2.6% average inflation for 2026 after upward revisions tied to robust chip exports and fiscal support, while the Bank of Korea maintains a 2% target with earlier outlooks closer to 2.1-2.2%. Elevated readings above target, persistent geopolitical pressures on oil, and potential moderation in the second half create tight competition between the 2.4-2.6% and 2.7-2.9% brackets. July CPI data and upcoming monetary policy signals remain key near-term catalysts influencing implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado2,7% a 2,9% 33.7%
2,4% a 2,6% 30.8%
3,0%+ 22%
2,1% a 2,3% 11.3%
$25,329 Vol.
$25,329 Vol.
<1,5%
1%
1,5% a 1,7%
1%
1,8% a 2,0%
1%
2,1% a 2,3%
11%
2,4% a 2,6%
31%
2,7% a 2,9%
34%
3,0%+
22%
2,7% a 2,9% 33.7%
2,4% a 2,6% 30.8%
3,0%+ 22%
2,1% a 2,3% 11.3%
$25,329 Vol.
$25,329 Vol.
<1,5%
1%
1,5% a 1,7%
1%
1,8% a 2,0%
1%
2,1% a 2,3%
11%
2,4% a 2,6%
31%
2,7% a 2,9%
34%
3,0%+
22%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado Aberto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent South Korean CPI data showing 3.2% year-over-year inflation in June 2026—the highest since late 2023—driven by energy and transport costs amid a weaker won, has anchored trader sentiment for the full-year average near 2.5-2.8%. Government forecasts now project 2.6% average inflation for 2026 after upward revisions tied to robust chip exports and fiscal support, while the Bank of Korea maintains a 2% target with earlier outlooks closer to 2.1-2.2%. Elevated readings above target, persistent geopolitical pressures on oil, and potential moderation in the second half create tight competition between the 2.4-2.6% and 2.7-2.9% brackets. July CPI data and upcoming monetary policy signals remain key near-term catalysts influencing implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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