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icon for Taxa de Desemprego de Setembro
Economia·Empregos

Taxa de Desemprego de Setembro

icon for Taxa de Desemprego de Setembro
Economia·Empregos

Taxa de Desemprego de Setembro

out 2

out 2

4,1% 30%

4,2% 26%

4,0% 16%

4,5% 12%

Polymarket
NOVO

4,1% 30%

4,2% 26%

4,0% 16%

4,5% 12%

Polymarket
NOVO

≤3,8%

$585 Vol.

5%

3,9%

$105 Vol.

5%

4,0%

$62 Vol.

16%

4,1%

$442 Vol.

30%

4,2%

$84 Vol.

26%

4,3%

$62 Vol.

11%

4,4%

$176 Vol.

5%

4,5%

$505 Vol.

12%

≥4,6%

$505 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent August 2026 data showed the U.S. unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1 percent alongside a 162,000 gain in nonfarm payrolls, exceeding consensus estimates and lifting labor force participation to 61.6 percent. Low initial jobless claims near 206,000 in late August point to continued labor-market stability heading into September, supporting trader focus on the 4.1 percent and 4.2 percent outcomes that together command over 55 percent implied probability. Wage growth moderating to around 3.1 percent year-over-year and mixed sector hiring trends introduce modest uncertainty, while the October 2 release will hinge on September payrolls and household survey revisions. These factors keep the market tightly contested between flat and slight upticks in the rate.

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.

The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.

The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$2,527
Data de Término
2 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent August 2026 data showed the U.S. unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1 percent alongside a 162,000 gain in nonfarm payrolls, exceeding consensus estimates and lifting labor force participation to 61.6 percent. Low initial jobless claims near 206,000 in late August point to continued labor-market stability heading into September, supporting trader focus on the 4.1 percent and 4.2 percent outcomes that together command over 55 percent implied probability. Wage growth moderating to around 3.1 percent year-over-year and mixed sector hiring trends introduce modest uncertainty, while the October 2 release will hinge on September payrolls and household survey revisions. These factors keep the market tightly contested between flat and slight upticks in the rate.

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.

The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.

The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$2,527
Data de Término
2 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Taxa de Desemprego de Setembro" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4,1%" at 30%, followed by "4,2%" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Taxa de Desemprego de Setembro" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Taxa de Desemprego de Setembro," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taxa de Desemprego de Setembro" is "4,1%" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4,2%" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taxa de Desemprego de Setembro" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.