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Tecnologia·Claude

Claude Code Commits End of June?

icon for Claude Code Commits End of June?
Tecnologia·Claude

Claude Code Commits End of June?

jun 30

jun 30

jun 30

jun 30

550.0-600.0k 43%

750.0k+ 39%

500.0-550.0k 25%

600.0-650.0k 16%

Polymarket
NOVO

550.0-600.0k 43%

750.0k+ 39%

500.0-550.0k 25%

600.0-650.0k 16%

Polymarket
NOVO

<500.0k

$183 Vol.

11%

500.0-550.0k

$199 Vol.

25%

550.0-600.0k

$249 Vol.

33%

600.0-650.0k

$176 Vol.

16%

650.0-700.0k

$250 Vol.

9%

700.0-750.0k

$229 Vol.

15%

750.0k+

$189 Vol.

31%

This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.Claude Code, Anthropic’s agentic coding system that autonomously edits codebases, runs tests, and commits changes, drives the current market balance around 500k–600k commits by June 30. Recent Opus 4.7 and 4.8 releases improved software engineering benchmarks and default effort levels, accelerating adoption across CLI, IDE, and web interfaces while Claude already authors roughly 4% of public GitHub commits. Traders weigh this momentum against competing tools, potential latency trade-offs, and the short remaining window, resulting in tight spreads across the 500k–750k buckets. Upcoming model updates or usage spikes could shift resolution before month-end.

This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.

This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.

This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Volume
$1,475
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.Claude Code, Anthropic’s agentic coding system that autonomously edits codebases, runs tests, and commits changes, drives the current market balance around 500k–600k commits by June 30. Recent Opus 4.7 and 4.8 releases improved software engineering benchmarks and default effort levels, accelerating adoption across CLI, IDE, and web interfaces while Claude already authors roughly 4% of public GitHub commits. Traders weigh this momentum against competing tools, potential latency trade-offs, and the short remaining window, resulting in tight spreads across the 500k–750k buckets. Upcoming model updates or usage spikes could shift resolution before month-end.

This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.

This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.

This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Volume
$1,475
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Claude Code Commits End of June?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "550.0-600.0k" at 33%, followed by "750.0k+" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Claude Code Commits End of June?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Claude Code Commits End of June?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Claude Code Commits End of June?" is "550.0-600.0k" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "750.0k+" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Claude Code Commits End of June?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.