Recent eurozone inflation acceleration in May, fueled by energy price pressures amid the Iran conflict, has shifted the European Central Bank toward tightening, driving near-unanimous trader positioning for a 25 basis point deposit rate increase to 2.25% at the June 11 meeting. This follows the April 30 hold at 2.00% and aligns with economist surveys showing over 90% expecting the hike, alongside futures markets pricing similar odds. The move reflects efforts to counter second-round effects while balancing a softening growth outlook. Key upcoming catalysts include the ECB's fresh inflation projections and any last-minute data on core measures or energy markets that could still influence the final decision.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoECB Interest Rates: June 2026
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026
Aumento de 25 pontos base 98.4%
No change 1.6%
Aumento de 50+ bps <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$794,516 Vol.
$794,516 Vol.
11 jun 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
2%
Aumento de 25 pontos base
98%
Aumento de 50+ bps
<1%
Aumento de 25 pontos base 98.4%
No change 1.6%
Aumento de 50+ bps <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$794,516 Vol.
$794,516 Vol.
11 jun 2026
50+ bps decrease
$110,059 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$126,190 Vol.
<1%
No change
$174,798 Vol.
2%
Aumento de 25 pontos base
$178,969 Vol.
98%
Aumento de 50+ bps
$204,501 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Recent eurozone inflation acceleration in May, fueled by energy price pressures amid the Iran conflict, has shifted the European Central Bank toward tightening, driving near-unanimous trader positioning for a 25 basis point deposit rate increase to 2.25% at the June 11 meeting. This follows the April 30 hold at 2.00% and aligns with economist surveys showing over 90% expecting the hike, alongside futures markets pricing similar odds. The move reflects efforts to counter second-round effects while balancing a softening growth outlook. Key upcoming catalysts include the ECB's fresh inflation projections and any last-minute data on core measures or energy markets that could still influence the final decision.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$794,516Data de Término
11 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Recent eurozone inflation acceleration in May, fueled by energy price pressures amid the Iran conflict, has shifted the European Central Bank toward tightening, driving near-unanimous trader positioning for a 25 basis point deposit rate increase to 2.25% at the June 11 meeting. This follows the April 30 hold at 2.00% and aligns with economist surveys showing over 90% expecting the hike, alongside futures markets pricing similar odds. The move reflects efforts to counter second-round effects while balancing a softening growth outlook. Key upcoming catalysts include the ECB's fresh inflation projections and any last-minute data on core measures or energy markets that could still influence the final decision.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Volume
$794,516Data de Término
11 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent eurozone inflation acceleration in May, fueled by energy price pressures amid the Iran conflict, has shifted the European Central Bank toward tightening, driving near-unanimous trader positioning for a 25 basis point deposit rate increase to 2.25% at the June 11 meeting. This follows the April 30 hold at 2.00% and aligns with economist surveys showing over 90% expecting the hike, alongside futures markets pricing similar odds. The move reflects efforts to counter second-round effects while balancing a softening growth outlook. Key upcoming catalysts include the ECB's fresh inflation projections and any last-minute data on core measures or energy markets that could still influence the final decision.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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