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icon for Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional

Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional

icon for Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional

Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional

“The Pitt” 95.6%

“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms” 1.9%

“Paradise” 1.5%

“The Gilded Age” 1.3%

Polymarket

$38,479 Vol.

“The Pitt” 95.6%

“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms” 1.9%

“Paradise” 1.5%

“The Gilded Age” 1.3%

Polymarket

$38,479 Vol.

“The Pitt”

$30,152 Vol.

96%

“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”

$1,022 Vol.

2%

“Paradise”

$1,184 Vol.

2%

“The Gilded Age”

$1,126 Vol.

1%

"The Diplomat"

$1,021 Vol.

1%

‘Your Friends & Neighbors’

$1,408 Vol.

1%

“Slow Horses”

$2,566 Vol.

<1%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt’s commanding 95.7% market-implied odds reflect its status as the clear frontrunner for Outstanding Drama Series at the September 14 Emmys. Last year’s winner entered the race with a leading 25 nominations across major categories, multiple early Creative Arts wins including casting, and strong critical momentum for its sophomore season of real-time emergency-room storytelling that tackled timely social issues. This combination of guild-adjacent recognition, star power from Noah Wyle, and absence of a single dominant rival has produced overwhelming trader consensus. While an upset remains possible if voters favor the ambitious sci-fi scope of Pluribus or established prestige from Slow Horses or The Diplomat, the proximity to final voting and The Pitt’s broad industry support make such a reversal unlikely.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$38,479
Data de Término
14 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt’s commanding 95.7% market-implied odds reflect its status as the clear frontrunner for Outstanding Drama Series at the September 14 Emmys. Last year’s winner entered the race with a leading 25 nominations across major categories, multiple early Creative Arts wins including casting, and strong critical momentum for its sophomore season of real-time emergency-room storytelling that tackled timely social issues. This combination of guild-adjacent recognition, star power from Noah Wyle, and absence of a single dominant rival has produced overwhelming trader consensus. While an upset remains possible if voters favor the ambitious sci-fi scope of Pluribus or established prestige from Slow Horses or The Diplomat, the proximity to final voting and The Pitt’s broad industry support make such a reversal unlikely.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$38,479
Data de Término
14 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "“The Pitt”" at 96%, followed by "“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional" has generated $38.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional" is "“The Pitt”" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.