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icon for Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional

Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional

icon for Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional

Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional

“The Pitt” 95.5%

“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms” 1.1%

"The Diplomat" 1.1%

“Paradise” 1.1%

Polymarket

$38,568 Vol.

“The Pitt” 95.5%

“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms” 1.1%

"The Diplomat" 1.1%

“Paradise” 1.1%

Polymarket

$38,568 Vol.

“The Pitt”

$30,152 Vol.

96%

“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”

$1,022 Vol.

1%

"The Diplomat"

$1,110 Vol.

1%

“Paradise”

$1,184 Vol.

1%

“The Gilded Age”

$1,126 Vol.

1%

‘Your Friends & Neighbors’

$1,408 Vol.

1%

“Slow Horses”

$2,566 Vol.

<1%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt's commanding 95.5% implied probability stems from its status as the defending Outstanding Drama Series champion and its industry-leading 25 nominations for season two, the highest of any program. The HBO Max medical drama, starring Noah Wyle, built on last year's surprise win with strong critical reception for its real-time format and timely storylines, plus early Creative Arts victories including casting. Other nominees such as The Diplomat, The Gilded Age, Paradise, and A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms trail far behind in guild and precursor momentum. With final-round voting complete and the September 14 ceremony just days away, only an unprecedented voter backlash or unexpected coalition for a fresher contender could realistically produce an upset.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$38,568
Data de Término
14 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt's commanding 95.5% implied probability stems from its status as the defending Outstanding Drama Series champion and its industry-leading 25 nominations for season two, the highest of any program. The HBO Max medical drama, starring Noah Wyle, built on last year's surprise win with strong critical reception for its real-time format and timely storylines, plus early Creative Arts victories including casting. Other nominees such as The Diplomat, The Gilded Age, Paradise, and A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms trail far behind in guild and precursor momentum. With final-round voting complete and the September 14 ceremony just days away, only an unprecedented voter backlash or unexpected coalition for a fresher contender could realistically produce an upset.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$38,568
Data de Término
14 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "“The Pitt”" at 96%, followed by "“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional" has generated $38.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional" is "“The Pitt”" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Emmys 2026: Série dramática excepcional" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.