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icon for Emmys 2026: Melhor série de reality show/competição

Emmys 2026: Melhor série de reality show/competição

icon for Emmys 2026: Melhor série de reality show/competição

Emmys 2026: Melhor série de reality show/competição

“The Traitors” 92.4%

“Survivor” 5.1%

“RuPaul’s Drag Race” 2.7%

"Dancing with the Stars" 2.2%

Polymarket

$33,445 Vol.

“The Traitors” 92.4%

“Survivor” 5.1%

“RuPaul’s Drag Race” 2.7%

"Dancing with the Stars" 2.2%

Polymarket

$33,445 Vol.

“The Traitors”

$16,242 Vol.

92%

“Survivor”

$9,869 Vol.

5%

“RuPaul’s Drag Race”

$4,070 Vol.

3%

"Dancing with the Stars"

$1,712 Vol.

2%

“Top Chef”

$1,552 Vol.

1%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Traitors commands 92.3% market-implied odds for Outstanding Reality Competition Program thanks to back-to-back Emmy wins in 2024 and 2025, a dominant sweep of the 2026 Critics Choice Real TV Awards for best competition series, and sustained critical and viewer momentum from its fresh murder-mystery format hosted by Alan Cumming. This positions the Peacock series as the clear frontrunner over veteran nominees like Survivor, whose milestone 50th season has generated discussion but limited recent awards traction, and Dancing with the Stars, which earned its first nomination in a decade. An upset would require a late voter shift toward Survivor’s longevity narrative or renewed visibility for other long-running entries, though final-round voting has closed ahead of the September 14 ceremony.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$33,445
Data de Término
14 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Traitors commands 92.3% market-implied odds for Outstanding Reality Competition Program thanks to back-to-back Emmy wins in 2024 and 2025, a dominant sweep of the 2026 Critics Choice Real TV Awards for best competition series, and sustained critical and viewer momentum from its fresh murder-mystery format hosted by Alan Cumming. This positions the Peacock series as the clear frontrunner over veteran nominees like Survivor, whose milestone 50th season has generated discussion but limited recent awards traction, and Dancing with the Stars, which earned its first nomination in a decade. An upset would require a late voter shift toward Survivor’s longevity narrative or renewed visibility for other long-running entries, though final-round voting has closed ahead of the September 14 ceremony.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$33,445
Data de Término
14 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Emmys 2026: Melhor série de reality show/competição" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "“The Traitors”" at 92%, followed by "“Survivor”" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Emmys 2026: Melhor série de reality show/competição" has generated $33.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Emmys 2026: Melhor série de reality show/competição," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Emmys 2026: Melhor série de reality show/competição" is "“The Traitors”" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "“Survivor”" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Emmys 2026: Melhor série de reality show/competição" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.