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icon for Emmys 2026: Especial de variedade excepcional (ao vivo)

Emmys 2026: Especial de variedade excepcional (ao vivo)

icon for Emmys 2026: Especial de variedade excepcional (ao vivo)

Emmys 2026: Especial de variedade excepcional (ao vivo)

O Show do Intervalo do Super Bowl LX estrelado por Bad Bunny 100.0%

Golden Globes <1%

Os Grammys <1%

Os Oscars <1%

Polymarket

$73,623 Vol.

O Show do Intervalo do Super Bowl LX estrelado por Bad Bunny 100.0%

Golden Globes <1%

Os Grammys <1%

Os Oscars <1%

Polymarket

$73,623 Vol.

O Show do Intervalo do Super Bowl LX estrelado por Bad Bunny

$53,689 Vol.

Sim

Golden Globes

$3,401 Vol.

Não

Os Grammys

$2,960 Vol.

Não

Os Oscars

$9,003 Vol.

Não

Os Tonys

$4,570 Vol.

Não

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Starring Bad Bunny holds overwhelming market-implied odds due to its record nine Emmy nominations—the most ever for any halftime performance—along with strong critical reception, 128 million viewers, and its status as the first Spanish-language entry in the category. Nominees in Outstanding Variety Special (Live) include the Golden Globes, Grammys, Oscars, and Tonys, but the halftime show’s technical achievements in directing, choreography, sound mixing, and production design, plus its cultural milestone drawing on Puerto Rican traditions and high-profile guests, have solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner position. Historical precedent favors major live events with broad appeal and precursor momentum in guild and critics’ recognition. An upset would require an unprecedented surge for one of the awards broadcasts, though the halftime show’s September 5 Creative Arts win in the category has further entrenched the outcome ahead of the September 14 ceremony.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$73,623
Data de Término
14 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Starring Bad Bunny holds overwhelming market-implied odds due to its record nine Emmy nominations—the most ever for any halftime performance—along with strong critical reception, 128 million viewers, and its status as the first Spanish-language entry in the category. Nominees in Outstanding Variety Special (Live) include the Golden Globes, Grammys, Oscars, and Tonys, but the halftime show’s technical achievements in directing, choreography, sound mixing, and production design, plus its cultural milestone drawing on Puerto Rican traditions and high-profile guests, have solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner position. Historical precedent favors major live events with broad appeal and precursor momentum in guild and critics’ recognition. An upset would require an unprecedented surge for one of the awards broadcasts, though the halftime show’s September 5 Creative Arts win in the category has further entrenched the outcome ahead of the September 14 ceremony.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$73,623
Data de Término
14 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Emmys 2026: Especial de variedade excepcional (ao vivo)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "O Show do Intervalo do Super Bowl LX estrelado por Bad Bunny" at 100%, followed by "Golden Globes" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Emmys 2026: Especial de variedade excepcional (ao vivo)" has generated $73.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Emmys 2026: Especial de variedade excepcional (ao vivo)," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Emmys 2026: Especial de variedade excepcional (ao vivo)" is "O Show do Intervalo do Super Bowl LX estrelado por Bad Bunny" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Golden Globes" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Emmys 2026: Especial de variedade excepcional (ao vivo)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.