**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, Met Office, and Turkish outlets, converge on a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in Ankara on August 24, 2026, with the bulk of guidance centering on 32°C.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probability for 32°C at 55.5%, followed by 31°C at 22.5% and 33°C at 14%. Persistent high-pressure dominance, clear skies, and light northeast winds are suppressing cloud cover and limiting moisture, allowing strong solar heating during peak daylight hours while keeping overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius. Current conditions on August 22 (highs near 34–35°C) show a modest cooling trend into the weekend and early next week as the flow shifts, yet remains well above seasonal norms without any frontal passages or significant moisture return that would alter the thermal profile. Model consensus across short-range guidance indicates minimal day-to-day variability in the 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing, supporting a narrow distribution around 32°C. Any upward or downward revision in the final observed maximum would most likely stem from small differences in observed wind speeds, local urban heat effects at the official station, or minor adjustments in the 24–48 hour forecast window. No major synoptic changes are anticipated before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 24 de agosto?
32°C 57%
31°C 22%
33°C 15%
30°C 6%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
22%
32°C
57%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 57%
31°C 22%
33°C 15%
30°C 6%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
22%
32°C
57%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, Met Office, and Turkish outlets, converge on a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in Ankara on August 24, 2026, with the bulk of guidance centering on 32°C.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probability for 32°C at 55.5%, followed by 31°C at 22.5% and 33°C at 14%. Persistent high-pressure dominance, clear skies, and light northeast winds are suppressing cloud cover and limiting moisture, allowing strong solar heating during peak daylight hours while keeping overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius. Current conditions on August 22 (highs near 34–35°C) show a modest cooling trend into the weekend and early next week as the flow shifts, yet remains well above seasonal norms without any frontal passages or significant moisture return that would alter the thermal profile. Model consensus across short-range guidance indicates minimal day-to-day variability in the 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing, supporting a narrow distribution around 32°C. Any upward or downward revision in the final observed maximum would most likely stem from small differences in observed wind speeds, local urban heat effects at the official station, or minor adjustments in the 24–48 hour forecast window. No major synoptic changes are anticipated before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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